Home > Football > Bundesliga
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 56.58%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 20.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.92%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 1-0 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Bayer Leverkusen in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bayer Leverkusen.
Result | ||
Union Berlin | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
20.49% | 22.93% | 56.58% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 52.7% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.21% ( 0) | 46.79% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.95% | 69.05% ( 0) |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.99% | 37.01% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.2% | 73.8% ( 0) |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.67% ( 0) | 16.33% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.08% ( 0) | 45.92% |
Score Analysis |
Union Berlin | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
1-0 @ 6.01% 2-1 @ 5.41% 2-0 @ 2.99% 3-1 @ 1.79% 3-2 @ 1.62% 3-0 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.68% Total : 20.49% | 1-1 @ 10.88% 0-0 @ 6.04% 2-2 @ 4.9% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.92% | 0-1 @ 10.95% 0-2 @ 9.92% 1-2 @ 9.86% 0-3 @ 6% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.96% 2-3 @ 2.96% 0-4 @ 2.72% 1-4 @ 2.7% 2-4 @ 1.34% 0-5 @ 0.99% 1-5 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.2% Total : 56.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 17 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 53 | 13 | 40 | 42 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 38 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 40 | 24 | 16 | 33 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 30 |
5 | Stuttgart | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 29 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 21 | 9 | 28 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 27 |
8 | Freiburg | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 27 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 26 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 25 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
12 | Augsburg | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 19 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 17 |
14 | St Pauli | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
15 | Heidenheim | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 14 |
16 | Hoffenheim | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 20 | 34 | -14 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 25 | 43 | -18 | 11 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 9 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |