We said: VfL Bochum 2-1 Augsburg
With Bochum enjoying a strong home record in the Bundesliga this season, and Augsburg struggling on their travels, we can see the hosts coming out with a narrow victory on Sunday.
It is likely to be a tight encounter between two evenly-matched sides, but Bochum should manage to edge out their visitors to confirm the extension of their stay in the top flight for another season.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 51.46%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 24.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.64%), while for an Augsburg win it was 0-1 (7.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.