Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 72.65%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 10.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.58%) and 0-3 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.04%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 1-0 (3.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.