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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 44.81%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 31.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.81%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 2-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Wolfsburg | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
31.52% ( -1.02) | 23.66% ( 0.47) | 44.81% ( 0.55) |
Both teams to score 61.14% ( -2.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.35% ( -2.69) | 40.65% ( 2.69) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.97% ( -2.81) | 63.03% ( 2.81) |
Wolfsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.95% ( -1.89) | 25.04% ( 1.89) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.28% ( -2.7) | 59.72% ( 2.7) |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.57% ( -0.85) | 18.43% ( 0.85) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.4% ( -1.46) | 49.6% ( 1.46) |
Score Analysis |
Wolfsburg | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
2-1 @ 7.48% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.44) 2-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 3.45% ( -0.24) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.29) 3-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.16) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.16) Other @ 2.61% Total : 31.52% | 1-1 @ 10.8% ( 0.45) 2-2 @ 6.33% ( -0.26) 0-0 @ 4.62% ( 0.55) 3-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.21) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.65% | 1-2 @ 9.14% ( 0.14) 0-1 @ 7.81% ( 0.73) 0-2 @ 6.6% ( 0.45) 1-3 @ 5.15% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 3.72% ( 0.16) 2-3 @ 3.57% ( -0.25) 1-4 @ 2.18% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 1.57% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.15) Other @ 3.57% Total : 44.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 17 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 53 | 13 | 40 | 42 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 38 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 30 |
5 | Stuttgart | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 29 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 21 | 9 | 28 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 27 |
8 | Freiburg | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 27 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 26 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 25 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
12 | Augsburg | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 19 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 17 |
14 | St Pauli | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
15 | Heidenheim | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 14 |
16 | Hoffenheim | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 20 | 34 | -14 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 25 | 43 | -18 | 11 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 9 |
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