We said: Dynamo Kiev 1-2 Benfica
With just 180 minutes separating Dynamo Kiev and Benfica from a place in the Champions League group stages, we expect a thrilling contest, with both sides taking the game to each other in search of a vital first-leg win. The Portuguese side head into the tie firing on all cylinders and we are backing them to maintain their fine run and see off the home side.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 59.49%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Dynamo Kiev had a probability of 17.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.93%) and 1-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Dynamo Kiev win it was 1-0 (6.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.