We said: Molde 0-3 Galatasaray
Molde may possess the formula for success at home domestically, but their defensive nous is unlikely to count for much against a Galatasaray side who know a thing or two about shutting out the opposition themselves.
Even with Torreira on the naughty step and concerns lingering over Zaha's availability, Buruk's squad of esteemed international stars should stroll to a first-leg win with minimal fuss.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 47.06%. A win for Galatasaray had a probability of 29.51% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.03%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Galatasaray win was 1-2 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.