MX23RW : Tuesday, March 11 00:28:06| >> :60:85:85:
Galatasaray
Champions League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 15, 2023 at 7pm UK
NEF Stadyumu
NK Olimpija Ljubljana

Galatasaray
1 - 0
Ljubljana

Icardi (24')
Boey (29')
Torreira (64')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Posavec (7'), Sualehe (31')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Galatasaray and NK Olimpija Ljubljana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kayserispor 0-0 Galatasaray
Saturday, August 12 at 7.45pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Ljubljana 2-1 Domzale
Saturday, August 12 at 4.30pm in Slovenian PrvaLiga

We said: Galatasaray 2-0 NK Olimpija Ljubljana (Galatasaray win 5-0 on aggregate)

Such is the depth of an expensively assembled squad, Galatasaray can even afford to rotate their resources on Tuesday and still progress comfortably. Olimpija cannot compete with their hosts' impressive firepower, so will have to settle for a place in the Europa League playoffs as Gala march on. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 65.51%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for NK Olimpija Ljubljana had a probability of 15.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.12%) and 1-0 (7.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.35%), while for a NK Olimpija Ljubljana win it was 1-2 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.

Result
GalatasarayDrawNK Olimpija Ljubljana
65.51% (0.012 0.01) 18.55% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 15.94% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
Both teams to score 59.1% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.81% (0.021999999999991 0.02)34.19% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.92% (0.024999999999999 0.02)56.08% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Galatasaray Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.21% (0.010000000000005 0.01)9.78% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.47% (0.021000000000001 0.02)32.53% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
NK Olimpija Ljubljana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.51% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)34.49% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.79% (0.010999999999999 0.01)71.21% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Galatasaray 65.51%
    NK Olimpija Ljubljana 15.94%
    Draw 18.55%
GalatasarayDrawNK Olimpija Ljubljana
2-1 @ 9.7% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 9.12% (-0.0029999999999983 -0)
1-0 @ 7.84% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.52% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 7.06% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 4.37% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 4.11% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-2 @ 4% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-2 @ 2.33% (0.0010000000000003 0)
5-1 @ 2.03% (0.0020000000000002 0)
5-0 @ 1.91% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-2 @ 1.08% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 4.44%
Total : 65.51%
1-1 @ 8.35% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 5.17% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 3.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.42% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 18.55%
1-2 @ 4.44% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 3.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 1.91% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.83%
1-3 @ 1.58%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 15.94%

How you voted: Galatasaray vs Ljubljana

Galatasaray
84.1%
Draw
11.4%
NK Olimpija Ljubljana
4.5%
44
Head to Head
Aug 8, 2023 8pm
Third Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Ljubljana
0-3
Galatasaray

Motika (54'), Motika (90'), Jakupovic (90')
Akturkoglu (9'), Mertens (48'), Dervisoglu (90+1')
Oliveira (42'), Dervisoglu (90+3')
rhs 2.0
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