Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 8, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Napoli1 - 1Union Berlin
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Salernitana 0-2 Napoli
Saturday, November 4 at 2pm in Serie A
Saturday, November 4 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Union Berlin 0-3 Frankfurt
Saturday, November 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, November 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: Napoli 2-0 Union Berlin
To say that Union Berlin are totally devoid of attacking inspiration would be unfair, as the Iron Ones troubled the Napoli backline on several occasions two weeks ago, only to be let down by poor finishing. However, Fischer's men ought to see their powers wane even more in Naples, where a 13th defeat of the season will end their top-two chances while taking Napoli ever closer to a place in the last-16 draw. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 59.84%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 19.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.89%) and 1-0 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 1-2 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Napoli | Draw | Union Berlin |
59.84% ( 0.04) | 20.66% ( -0) | 19.5% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 58.77% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.02% ( -0.04) | 37.98% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.76% ( -0.04) | 60.24% ( 0.05) |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.62% ( -0) | 12.38% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 61.77% ( -0) | 38.23% ( 0) |
| Union Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.07% ( -0.06) | 32.92% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.5% ( -0.06) | 69.5% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
Napoli 59.84%
Union Berlin 19.5%
Draw 20.66%
| Napoli | Draw | Union Berlin |
| 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.89% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 8.51% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.88% 3-0 @ 6.19% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.6% 4-0 @ 3.24% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.5% 5-0 @ 1.35% ( 0)Other @ 3.97% Total : 59.84% | 1-1 @ 9.46% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.07% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0)Other @ 0.23% Total : 20.66% | 1-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.53% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.52% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 2.29% Total : 19.5% |
How you voted: Napoli vs Union Berlin
Napoli
87.1%Draw
10.1%Union Berlin
2.8%178
Head to Head
Form Guide
