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Salernitana
Serie A | Gameweek 11
Nov 4, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadio Arechi
Napoli logo

Salernitana
0 - 2
Napoli


Mazzocchi (68'), Inzaghi (75')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Raspadori (13'), Elmas (82')
Di Lorenzo (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Salernitana and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Napoli 2-2 AC Milan
Sunday, October 29 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Salernitana 1-3 Napoli

While Napoli's proclivity to concede means Salernitana could add to their meagre six goals on Saturday, the Partenopei should be too strong for the struggling side at the Arechi. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 67.4%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 13.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.05%) and 1-2 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.14%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-0 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Napoli in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Napoli.

Result
SalernitanaDrawNapoli
13.36% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07) 19.24% (-0.102 -0.1) 67.4% (0.17100000000001 0.17)
Both teams to score 49.61% (0.153 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.78% (0.301 0.3)43.22% (-0.301 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.38% (0.296 0.3)65.62% (-0.29599999999999 -0.3)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.28% (0.087000000000003 0.09)43.71% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.11% (0.070999999999998 0.07)79.89% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.15% (0.134 0.13)11.85% (-0.133 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.87% (0.28599999999999 0.29)37.13% (-0.285 -0.28)
Score Analysis
    Salernitana 13.36%
    Napoli 67.4%
    Draw 19.24%
SalernitanaDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 4.29% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 3.78% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 1.77% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.11% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 1.04%
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 13.36%
1-1 @ 9.14% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-0 @ 5.18% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.03% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 19.24%
0-2 @ 11.78% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-1 @ 11.05% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-2 @ 9.75% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-3 @ 8.38% (0.022 0.02)
1-3 @ 6.93% (0.035 0.04)
0-4 @ 4.47% (0.036 0.04)
1-4 @ 3.7% (0.038 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.87% (0.022 0.02)
0-5 @ 1.91% (0.025 0.03)
1-5 @ 1.58% (0.024 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.53% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 67.4%

How you voted: Salernitana vs Napoli

Salernitana
4.3%
Draw
5.7%
Napoli
90.0%
70
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 32
Napoli
1-1
Salernitana
Olivera (62')
Dia (84')
Jan 21, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 19
Salernitana
0-2
Napoli
Di Lorenzo (45+3'), Osimhen (48')
Jan 23, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 23
Napoli
4-1
Salernitana
Jesus (17'), Mertens (45+4' pen.), Rrahmani (47'), Insigne (53' pen.)
Bonazzoli (33')
Delli Carri (23'), Obi (30'), Veseli (45+3')
Veseli (51')
Oct 31, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 11
Salernitana
0-1
Napoli

Kastanos (70')
Zielinski (61')
Zambo Anguissa (41'), Rui (74')
Koulibaly (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta00000000
2Bologna00000000
3CagliariCagliari00000000
4Como00000000
5Empoli00000000
6Fiorentina00000000
7Genoa00000000
8Hellas VeronaHellas Verona00000000
9Inter Milan00000000
10Juventus00000000
11Lazio00000000
12Lecce00000000
13AC Milan00000000
14Monza00000000
15Napoli00000000
16Parma00000000
17Roma00000000
18Torino00000000
19Udinese00000000
20VeneziaVenezia00000000


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