Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 50.35%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Barnsley had a probability of 23.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.05%) and 1-2 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Barnsley win it was 1-0 (8.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Brentford in this match.