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Championship | Gameweek 4
Aug 16, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Watford logo

Birmingham
1 - 1
Watford

Hall (19')
Sanderson (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Sema (63')
Choudhury (45+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Birmingham City 1-2 Watford

Birmingham have been quite resolute so far, conceding only two goals in three league games, but faced by a well-stocked Watford attack, they may not be able to hold out on Tuesday: the visitors' abundance of options up front will tip the result in their favour. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 49.14%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 24.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.34%) and 1-2 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 1-0 (8.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawWatford
24.89% (-0.012 -0.01) 25.97% (0.0010000000000012 0) 49.14% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 48.86% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.44% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)54.55% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.1% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)75.9% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.82% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)37.17% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.04% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)73.96% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)22.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.34% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)55.66% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 24.89%
    Watford 49.13%
    Draw 25.96%
Birmingham CityDrawWatford
1-0 @ 8.18% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-1 @ 6.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 4.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 2.01% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 1.51% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 1.34% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 24.89%
1-1 @ 12.29%
0-0 @ 8.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 4.58% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 25.96%
0-1 @ 12.42%
0-2 @ 9.34% (0.0040000000000013 0)
1-2 @ 9.25% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-3 @ 4.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 4.63%
2-3 @ 2.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.76% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.74%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 49.13%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Watford

Birmingham City
17.8%
Draw
15.3%
Watford
66.9%
163
Head to Head
Mar 20, 2021 3pm
Dec 12, 2020 3pm
Birmingham
0-1
Watford

Kieftenbeld (15'), Pedersen (57')
Pedersen (84')
Deeney (85' pen.)
Capoue (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd28186440182258
2Leeds UnitedLeeds27168351193256
3Sunderland28159440221854
4Burnley27141123192253
5Middlesbrough28128846341244
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn28126103126542
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2891453324941
8Watford28125113939041
9Queens Park RangersQPR2891183235-338
10Bristol City2791083331237
11Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27107103843-537
12Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
13Coventry CityCoventry2898113737035
14Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2898113343-1035
15Swansea CitySwansea2897123135-434
16Preston North EndPreston2871383035-534
17Millwall27710102626031
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Cardiff CityCardiff28610123143-1228
20Derby CountyDerby2876153138-727
21Hull City2868142738-1126
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2875162947-1826
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


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