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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 1
Jul 30, 2022 at 3pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Birmingham logo

Luton
0 - 0
Birmingham

FT

Bacuna (35'), Sanderson (50'), Woods (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luton 1-1 West Ham
Saturday, July 23 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Luton Town 1-0 Birmingham City

On paper, there appears to be little splitting these sides, but in reality they are two teams likely heading in different directions. We do not envisage many goals on Saturday, but the hosts should have enough about them to earn three points and get their season off to a winning start. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Luton Town win with a probability of 50.37%. A draw has a probability of 26.5% and a win for Birmingham City has a probability of 23.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Birmingham City win it is 0-1 (8.43%).

Result
Luton TownDrawBirmingham City
50.37% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03) 26.47% (-0.064 -0.06) 23.16% (0.103 0.1)
Both teams to score 45.75% (0.279 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.26% (0.307 0.31)57.74% (-0.302 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.52% (0.242 0.24)78.49% (-0.23700000000001 -0.24)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.97% (0.116 0.12)23.03% (-0.112 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.15% (0.17 0.17)56.85% (-0.164 -0.16)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.44% (0.27500000000001 0.28)40.57% (-0.27 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.83% (0.246 0.25)77.17% (-0.241 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 50.36%
    Birmingham City 23.16%
    Draw 26.47%
Luton TownDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 13.71% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-0 @ 10.07% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.09% (0.023 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.93% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.45% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.01% (0.026 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.81% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.63% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 50.36%
1-1 @ 12.37% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.34% (-0.108 -0.11)
2-2 @ 4.1% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 26.47%
0-1 @ 8.43% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-2 @ 5.58% (0.037 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.8% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.68% (0.023 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.23% (0.021 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.14% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 23.16%

How you voted: Luton vs Birmingham

Luton Town
73.2%
Draw
10.7%
Birmingham City
16.1%
56
Head to Head
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Luton
0-5
Birmingham

Rea (34')
Roberts (7'), Hogan (26', 47'), Gardner (84'), Aneke (88')
Roberts (4')
Feb 13, 2021 3pm
Nov 24, 2020 7pm
Luton
1-1
Birmingham
Pearson (37')
Rea (73')
Jutkiewicz (23' pen.)
Dean (48')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7Watford2110473028234
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Bristol City216962626027
12Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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