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Championship | Gameweek 1
Aug 9, 2024 at 8pm UK
Ewood Park
Derby logo

Blackburn
4 - 2
Derby

Dolan (19'), Weimann (72'), Szmodics (76'), Ohashi (84')
Dolan (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Nelson (67'), Wilson (88')
Barkhuizen (11'), Collins (82'), Cashin (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stockport 0-1 Blackburn
Friday, August 2 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Derby 2-1 Valladolid
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Blackburn Rovers 2-1 Derby County

The opening day of a season is a complete unknown, and that is particularly the case with two well-matched teams squaring off here. Derby will be eager to make an impression, yet we are backing Rovers to make a positive start to their campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 45.02%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 29.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.14%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawDerby County
29.44% (0.036000000000001 0.04) 25.54% (0.012 0.01) 45.02% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 53.59% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.97% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)50.03% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.99% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)72.01% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.88% (0.010000000000005 0.01)31.12% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.55% (0.010999999999996 0.01)67.45% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.81% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)22.19% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.4% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)55.6% (0.052 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 29.44%
    Derby County 45.02%
    Draw 25.53%
Blackburn RoversDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 8.06% (0.012 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.08% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 4.7% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.76% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-2 @ 2.07% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 1.83% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 29.44%
1-1 @ 12.13%
0-0 @ 6.91% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.33% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.53%
0-1 @ 10.39%
1-2 @ 9.14% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.83% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.59% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.93% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.68% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
1-4 @ 1.73% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 1.48% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 1.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 45.02%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Derby

Blackburn Rovers
65.2%
Draw
18.4%
Derby County
16.5%
158
Head to Head
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Blackburn
3-1
Derby
Wharton (53'), Dolan (59'), Gallagher (90+7')
Travis (83')
Morrison (28')
Morrison (67')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 15
Derby
1-2
Blackburn
Davies (89')
Shinnie (29'), Lawrence (50')
Brereton Diaz (8', 20')
Lenihan (59'), Buckley (85'), Khadra (88'), Poveda (89'), Travis (90+1')
Apr 16, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 42
Blackburn
2-1
Derby
Gallagher (42'), Elliott (66')
Holtby (32'), Elliott (67')
Lawrence (22')
Clarke (45+1')
Sep 26, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 3
Derby
0-4
Blackburn

Buchanan (33'), Rooney (80')
Dolan (11'), Johnson (12', 15'), Armstrong (78')
Johnson (36'), Lenihan (42'), Rothwell (66')
Mar 8, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Broncos
@
Saints
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland96121881019
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd9630123919
3Burnley95311441018
4West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom9522126617
5Leeds UnitedLeeds9441157816
6Watford95131414016
7Norwich CityNorwich94321610615
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn94321511415
9Middlesbrough9423107314
10Oxford UnitedOxford Utd93331311212
11Swansea CitySwansea933386212
12Derby CountyDerby94051212012
13Hull City93331213-112
14Plymouth ArgylePlymouth93241013-311
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds93241115-411
16Bristol City92521014-411
17Stoke CityStoke93151012-210
18Millwall9234121119
19Preston North EndPreston9234712-59
20Coventry CityCoventry92251013-38
21Luton TownLuton9225815-78
22Queens Park RangersQPR9144916-77
23Portsmouth9054920-115
24Cardiff CityCardiff9126418-145


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