Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 39.16%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 33.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 1-0 (10.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.