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Championship | Gameweek 9
Oct 25, 2022 at 8pm UK
Turf Moor
Norwich logo

Burnley
1 - 0
Norwich

Rodriguez (82' pen.)
Rodriguez (38'), Tella (58'), Cork (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Aarons (21'), Hayden (27'), Hanley (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Burnley and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland 2-4 Burnley
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Utd 2-2 Norwich
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Burnley 1-1 Norwich City

Victory for either side at Turf Moor would send a message to the rest of the league as to their promotion credentials, although a tight affair could be on the cards on Friday. Burnley have already drawn three of their opening four home games this term and we can see the points being shared once again in Lancashire. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 47.76%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 26.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 0-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Burnley in this match.

Result
BurnleyDrawNorwich City
47.76% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 25.48% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 26.75% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 51.91%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.64% (0.0010000000000048 0)51.36% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.82% (0.0019999999999989 0)73.18% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)21.51% (-0.0059999999999967 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.43% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)54.56% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.13% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)33.86% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.46% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)70.53% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 47.76%
    Norwich City 26.75%
    Draw 25.48%
BurnleyDrawNorwich City
1-0 @ 11.19%
2-1 @ 9.31% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.6% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 4.77% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 4.41% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.58%
4-1 @ 1.83%
4-0 @ 1.69% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 47.76%
1-1 @ 12.12%
0-0 @ 7.29% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.04%
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.48%
0-1 @ 7.89% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 6.56% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 4.27% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 2.37% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 1.82%
0-3 @ 1.54% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 26.75%

How you voted: Burnley vs Norwich

Burnley
79.7%
Draw
12.0%
Norwich City
8.3%
133
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2022 2pm
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Burnley
0-0
Norwich

Tarkowski (11'), Wood (24'), Lowton (25'), Brownhill (33'), Rodriguez (49')

Normann (27'), Aarons (74')
Jul 18, 2020 5.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds30189360194163
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd30196541212061
3Burnley30151323692758
4Sunderland291510442241855
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn30136113429545
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom301014639271244
7Middlesbrough29128947361144
8Norwich CityNorwich30119104942742
9Bristol City30101283835342
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds30119104346-342
11Coventry CityCoventry30118114138341
12Watford30125134042-241
13Millwall301010103027340
14Queens Park RangersQPR30911103339-638
15Preston North EndPreston3081393338-537
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd30910113444-1037
17Swansea CitySwansea3097143242-1034
18Stoke CityStoke30711122837-932
19Cardiff CityCardiff30710133351-1831
20Portsmouth3079143652-1630
21Hull City3078153140-929
22Derby CountyDerby3076173241-927
23Luton TownLuton3076173049-1927
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth30510152963-3425


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