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Championship | Gameweek 41
Jul 4, 2020 at 12.30pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Nottingham Forest logo

Derby
1 - 1
Nott'm Forest

Martin (90+6')
Sibley (80')
Waghorn (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lolley (12')
Ameobi (90+1'), Ribeiro (90+3'), Worrall (90+6')

The Match

Match Report

The Rams' leveller came deep in second-half stoppage time.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship meeting between Derby County and Nottingham Forest, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 49.62%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 25.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 0-1 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
Derby CountyDrawNottingham Forest
49.62%24.77%25.61%
Both teams to score 53.14%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.73%49.27%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.67%71.32%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.12%19.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.01%51.99%
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.32%33.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.67%70.33%
Score Analysis
    Derby County 49.61%
    Nottingham Forest 25.61%
    Draw 24.77%
Derby CountyDrawNottingham Forest
1-0 @ 10.81%
2-1 @ 9.51%
2-0 @ 8.74%
3-1 @ 5.12%
3-0 @ 4.71%
3-2 @ 2.79%
4-1 @ 2.07%
4-0 @ 1.9%
4-2 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 49.61%
1-1 @ 11.77%
0-0 @ 6.7%
2-2 @ 5.17%
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.77%
0-1 @ 7.29%
1-2 @ 6.41%
0-2 @ 3.96%
1-3 @ 2.32%
2-3 @ 1.88%
0-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 25.61%

Head to Head
Nov 9, 2019 12.30pm
Aug 27, 2019 7.45pm
Second Round
Nott'm Forest
3-0
Derby
Adomah (25'), Lolley (35'), Carvalho (79')

Buchanan (28'), Paterson (49'), Shinnie (79')
Feb 25, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 34
Nott'm Forest
1-0
Derby
Benalouane (2')
Yates (29'), Colback (82')

Wilson (26'), Holmes (29'), Tomori (95')
Dec 17, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Derby
0-0
Nott'm Forest
Bryson (29'), Bogle (45'), Huddlestone (68')
Hefele (33'), Osborn (55'), Colback (87')
Mar 11, 2018 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd28186440182258
2Leeds UnitedLeeds27168351193256
3Sunderland28159440221854
4Burnley27141123192253
5Middlesbrough28128846341244
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn28126103126542
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2891453324941
8Watford28125113939041
9Queens Park RangersQPR2891183235-338
10Bristol City2791083331237
11Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27107103843-537
12Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
13Coventry CityCoventry2898113737035
14Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2898113343-1035
15Swansea CitySwansea2897123135-434
16Preston North EndPreston2871383035-534
17Millwall27710102626031
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Cardiff CityCardiff28610123143-1228
20Derby CountyDerby2876153138-727
21Hull City2868142738-1126
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2875162947-1826
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


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