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Championship header 2

Championship
Leeds logo
Championship | Gameweek 26
Jan 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Elland Road
Birmingham logo

Leeds
3 - 0
Birmingham

Bamford (34'), James (45+1'), Summerville (67')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Stansfield (20'), Sunjic (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

All competitions
Last Game: West Brom 1-0 Leeds
Friday, December 29 at 8.15pm in Championship

Birmingham City

All competitions
Last Game: Birmingham 0-0 Bristol City
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Leeds United 2-0 Birmingham City

 Leeds have fallen short of their normal standards in the last two matches, but the arrival of a Birmingham side who struggle on their travels to Elland Road represents a good chance to get back to winning ways. Blues ambled to a clean sheet on Friday night to secure an uninspiring point, but Rooney's men will face a much more potent attacking force in Yorkshire on Monday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 66.46%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 14.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 1-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.77%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 1-2 (4.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawBirmingham City
66.46% (0.031999999999996 0.03) 18.82% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 14.71% (-0.016 -0.02)
Both teams to score 54.88% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.83% (0.036999999999999 0.04)38.17% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.56% (0.039999999999999 0.04)60.44% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.34% (0.019999999999996 0.02)10.66% (-0.019 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.48% (0.040000000000006 0.04)34.52% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.42% (0.0020000000000024 0)38.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)75.32% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 66.46%
    Birmingham City 14.71%
    Draw 18.82%
Leeds UnitedDrawBirmingham City
2-0 @ 10.3%
2-1 @ 9.82% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-0 @ 9.2% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.69% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 7.33% (0.0040000000000004 0)
4-0 @ 4.3% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.1% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 3.49% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-2 @ 1.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.93% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 1.84% (0.004 0)
Other @ 4.52%
Total : 66.46%
1-1 @ 8.77% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.68% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 4.11% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 18.82%
1-2 @ 4.18% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-1 @ 3.92% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.87% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.49%
1-3 @ 1.33% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 14.71%

How you voted: Leeds vs Birmingham

Leeds United
83.3%
Draw
13.9%
Birmingham City
2.8%
36
Head to Head
Aug 12, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
Birmingham
1-0
Leeds
Jutkiewicz (90+1' pen.)
Ruddy (90+3')

Ampadu (22'), Byram (45+1')
> Preview
Dec 29, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 25
Birmingham
4-5
Leeds
Bellingham (27'), Jutkiewicz (61', 91'), Bela (83')
Gardner (39'), Harding (48'), Mrabti (62'), Jutkiewicz (63'), Montero (92')
Costa (15'), Harrison (21'), Ayling (69'), Dallas (84'), Harding (94' og.)
Casilla (71'), Nketiah (73'), Ayling (88')
> Match Report
Oct 19, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 12
Leeds
1-0
Birmingham
> Match Report
Apr 6, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 40
Birmingham
1-0
Leeds
Adams (29')
Dean (48')

Alioski (30'), Jansson (76'), Hernandez (83')
> Match Report
Sep 22, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 9
Leeds
1-2
Birmingham
Alioski (85')
Saiz (57'), Forshaw (90')
Adams (8', 29')
Gardner (41'), Morrison (67'), Kieftenbeld (79'), Pedersen (84')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley136521761123
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Millwall135441612419
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
9Bristol City134721717019
10Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
11Middlesbrough135351415-118
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139
> Championship Full Table


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