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Championship | Gameweek 22
Dec 18, 2023 at 8pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Leicester logo

Birmingham
2 - 3
Leicester

James (14', 74')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Mavididi (10', 50'), Dewsbury-Hall (21')
Mavididi (10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 0-1 Birmingham
Wednesday, December 13 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Leicester 3-2 Millwall
Wednesday, December 13 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Birmingham City 1-3 Leicester City

Birmingham were defensively sound on Wednesday night against a woeful Cardiff attack, but dealing with Maresca's Leicester will be a different kettle of fish. The Foxes have a good opportunity to stretch their lead at the top of the division, and we feel that the visitors will do just that at St Andrew's. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 50.67%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 24.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.59%) and 0-2 (8.88%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawLeicester City
24.87% (-0.75 -0.75) 24.46% (-0.203 -0.2) 50.67% (0.952 0.95)
Both teams to score 53.38% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.39% (0.22900000000001 0.23)48.6% (-0.23 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.28% (0.209 0.21)70.72% (-0.209 -0.21)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.05% (-0.50500000000001 -0.51)33.95% (0.504 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.38% (-0.549 -0.55)70.62% (0.547 0.55)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.81% (0.473 0.47)19.19% (-0.474 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.13% (0.777 0.78)50.87% (-0.778 -0.78)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 24.87%
    Leicester City 50.67%
    Draw 24.45%
Birmingham CityDrawLeicester City
1-0 @ 7.04% (-0.166 -0.17)
2-1 @ 6.28% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-0 @ 3.8% (-0.143 -0.14)
3-1 @ 2.26% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-2 @ 1.87% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.37% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 24.87%
1-1 @ 11.61% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 6.51% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.18% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.45%
0-1 @ 10.75% (0.06 0.06)
1-2 @ 9.59% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
0-2 @ 8.88% (0.179 0.18)
1-3 @ 5.28% (0.112 0.11)
0-3 @ 4.88% (0.169 0.17)
2-3 @ 2.85% (0.022 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.18% (0.078 0.08)
0-4 @ 2.02% (0.098 0.1)
2-4 @ 1.18% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 50.67%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Leicester

Birmingham City
15.0%
Draw
12.1%
Leicester City
72.9%
107
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2020 1pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Birmingham
0-2
Leicester
Mar 4, 2020 7.45pm
Aug 1, 2015 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Birmingham
2-3
Leicester
Cotterill (23'), Gray (24')
Huth (59'), Drinkwater (76'), Okazaki (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley136521761123
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Millwall135441612419
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
9Bristol City134721717019
10Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
11Middlesbrough135351415-118
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139


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