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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 10
Oct 19, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Watford logo

Luton
vs.
Watford

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Utd 2-0 Luton
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 2-1 Middlesbrough
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in Championship

We say: Luton Town 2-1 Watford

While Watford may be enjoying a strong start under Cleverley, we cannot ignore their form away from Vicarage Road. With that in mind, Luton could edge this contest by the odd goal in three, kick-starting their campaign and relieving some pressure on Edwards in the process. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Luton Town win with a probability of 42.96%. A win for Watford has a probability of 31.96% and a draw has a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Watford win is 0-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.83%).

Result
Luton TownDrawWatford
42.96% (0.385 0.38) 25.08% (-0.212 -0.21) 31.96% (-0.173 -0.17)
Both teams to score 56.35% (0.645 0.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53% (0.871 0.87)47% (-0.872 -0.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.75% (0.808 0.81)69.24% (-0.809 -0.81)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.14% (0.55500000000001 0.56)21.86% (-0.555 -0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.9% (0.837 0.84)55.1% (-0.837 -0.84)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.12% (0.31700000000001 0.32)27.88% (-0.317 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.51% (0.403 0.4)63.49% (-0.404 -0.4)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 42.96%
    Watford 31.96%
    Draw 25.08%
Luton TownDrawWatford
1-0 @ 9.27% (-0.185 -0.19)
2-1 @ 9% (0.052 0.05)
2-0 @ 7.05% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.56% (0.101 0.1)
3-0 @ 3.57% (0.048 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.91% (0.089 0.09)
4-1 @ 1.73% (0.066 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.36% (0.04 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.11% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 42.96%
1-1 @ 11.83% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 6.1% (-0.226 -0.23)
2-2 @ 5.75% (0.084 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.24% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.08%
0-1 @ 7.79% (-0.217 -0.22)
1-2 @ 7.56% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.97% (-0.093 -0.09)
1-3 @ 3.22% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.45% (0.057 0.06)
0-3 @ 2.12% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.03% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 31.96%

Who will win Saturday's Championship clash between Luton and Watford?

Luton Town
Draw
Watford
Luton Town
38.5%
Draw
7.7%
Watford
53.8%
39
Head to Head
Apr 1, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 39
Luton
2-0
Watford
Osho (28'), Campbell (90+1')
Oct 23, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 17
Watford
4-0
Luton
Davis (3'), Troost-Ekong (45'), Pedro (57'), Sarr (79')
Apr 17, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 42
Luton
1-0
Watford
Collins (78' pen.)
Bradley (28'), Berry (80')

Femenia (72'), Troost-Ekong (75'), Sierralta (76')
Femenia (88')
Sep 26, 2020 12.30pm
Gameweek 3
Watford
1-0
Luton
Pedro (35')

Pearson (75'), Norrington-Davies (90+3')
Apr 9, 2006 3pm
Watford
1-1
Luton
King (36')
Doyley (76'), King (90')
Brkovic (73')
Showunmi (37'), Howard (42'), Heikkinen (51')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Broncos
@
Saints
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland96121881019
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd9630123919
3Burnley95311441018
4West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom9522126617
5Leeds UnitedLeeds9441157816
6Watford95131414016
7Norwich CityNorwich94321610615
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn94321511415
9Middlesbrough9423107314
10Oxford UnitedOxford Utd93331311212
11Swansea CitySwansea933386212
12Derby CountyDerby94051212012
13Hull City93331213-112
14Plymouth ArgylePlymouth93241013-311
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds93241115-411
16Bristol City92521014-411
17Stoke CityStoke93151012-210
18Millwall9234121119
19Preston North EndPreston9234712-59
20Coventry CityCoventry92251013-38
21Luton TownLuton9225815-78
22Queens Park RangersQPR9144916-77
23Portsmouth9054920-115
24Cardiff CityCardiff9126418-145


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