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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Luton Town win with a probability of 42.96%. A win for Watford has a probability of 31.96% and a draw has a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Watford win is 0-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.83%).
Result | ||
Luton Town | Draw | Watford |
42.96% ( 0.38) | 25.08% ( -0.21) | 31.96% ( -0.17) |
Both teams to score 56.35% ( 0.64) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53% ( 0.87) | 47% ( -0.87) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.75% ( 0.81) | 69.24% ( -0.81) |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.14% ( 0.56) | 21.86% ( -0.56) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.9% ( 0.84) | 55.1% ( -0.84) |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.12% ( 0.32) | 27.88% ( -0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.51% ( 0.4) | 63.49% ( -0.4) |
Score Analysis |
Luton Town | Draw | Watford |
1-0 @ 9.27% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 9% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 7.05% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.56% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 3.57% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 1.73% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.41% Total : 42.96% | 1-1 @ 11.83% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 6.1% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.08% | 0-1 @ 7.79% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 7.56% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 3.22% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.83% Total : 31.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 19 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 19 |
3 | Burnley | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 18 |
4 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 17 |
5 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 16 |
6 | Watford | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 16 |
7 | Norwich CityNorwich | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 15 |
8 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 15 |
9 | Middlesbrough | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 14 |
10 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 12 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 12 |
13 | Hull City | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 12 |
14 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 11 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 11 |
16 | Bristol City | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 11 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 10 |
18 | Millwall | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 9 |
19 | Preston North EndPreston | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 9 |
20 | Coventry CityCoventry | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 8 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 8 |
22 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
23 | Portsmouth | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 5 |
24 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 18 | -14 | 5 |
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