Home > Football > Championship
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Watford had a probability of 31.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-2 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.
Result | ||
Norwich City | Draw | Watford |
43.96% ( -0.43) | 24.76% ( 0.01) | 31.27% ( 0.41) |
Both teams to score 57.15% ( 0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.17% ( 0.11) | 45.82% ( -0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.86% ( 0.11) | 68.14% ( -0.11) |
Norwich City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.09% ( -0.15) | 20.91% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.37% ( -0.23) | 53.63% ( 0.22) |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.26% ( 0.33) | 27.74% ( -0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.69% ( 0.42) | 63.31% ( -0.42) |
Score Analysis |
Norwich City | Draw | Watford |
2-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 9.08% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 7.1% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 4.75% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.71% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.05% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.86% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.67% Total : 43.96% | 1-1 @ 11.63% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.8% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.75% | 1-2 @ 7.46% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 7.44% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 3.19% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.86% Total : 31.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 48 | 19 | 29 | 53 |
2 | Burnley | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 52 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 17 | 19 | 52 |
4 | Sunderland | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 22 | 17 | 50 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 42 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 41 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 26 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 40 |
8 | Watford | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 38 |
9 | Bristol City | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 37 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 37 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 36 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 34 |
13 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 32 |
14 | Millwall | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 30 |
15 | Preston North EndPreston | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 30 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 29 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 29 |
18 | Derby CountyDerby | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 27 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 27 |
20 | Luton TownLuton | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 25 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 24 |
22 | Hull City | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 23 |
23 | Portsmouth | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 23 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 25 | 54 | -29 | 21 |
> Championship Full Table |