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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 39.85%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 35.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.58%) and 0-2 (5.89%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Luton Town |
35.97% ( 0.12) | 24.18% ( -0.02) | 39.85% ( -0.1) |
Both teams to score 60.66% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.13% ( 0.11) | 41.86% ( -0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.73% ( 0.11) | 64.27% ( -0.11) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.91% ( 0.11) | 23.09% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.07% ( 0.16) | 56.93% ( -0.16) |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.87% ( 0) | 21.13% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.02% ( -0) | 53.98% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Luton Town |
2-1 @ 8.15% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.15% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.98% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.56% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.46% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.26% Total : 35.97% | 1-1 @ 11.11% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.33% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.88% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.17% | 1-2 @ 8.64% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.58% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 4.48% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.74% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.28% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.72% Total : 39.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 19 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 19 |
3 | Burnley | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 18 |
4 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 17 |
5 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 16 |
6 | Watford | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 16 |
7 | Norwich CityNorwich | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 15 |
8 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 15 |
9 | Middlesbrough | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 14 |
10 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 12 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 12 |
13 | Hull City | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 12 |
14 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 11 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 11 |
16 | Bristol City | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 11 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 10 |
18 | Millwall | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 9 |
19 | Preston North EndPreston | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 9 |
20 | Coventry CityCoventry | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 8 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 8 |
22 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
23 | Portsmouth | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 5 |
24 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 18 | -14 | 5 |
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