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Plymouth Argyle
Championship | Gameweek 7
Sep 27, 2024 at 8pm UK
Home Park
Luton Town

Plymouth
3 - 1
Luton

Hajal (8'), Cissoko (69', 90+3')
Randell (36')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Moses (71')
Adebayo (15'), Walters (83'), Burke (87'), Clark (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Plymouth Argyle and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Brom 1-0 Plymouth
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 2-1 Sheff Weds
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Plymouth Argyle 1-2 Luton Town

With Plymouth seemingly improving under Rooney, we cannot rule them out of securing maximum points from this contest. On the flip side, Luton are seemingly building some momentum, leading us to back a hard-earned victory for Edwards' men. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 39.85%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 35.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.58%) and 0-2 (5.89%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawLuton Town
35.97% (0.117 0.12) 24.18% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02) 39.85% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Both teams to score 60.66% (0.087999999999994 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.13% (0.107 0.11)41.86% (-0.107 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.73% (0.107 0.11)64.27% (-0.107 -0.11)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.91% (0.113 0.11)23.09% (-0.112 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.07% (0.163 0.16)56.93% (-0.162 -0.16)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.87% (0.0010000000000048 0)21.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.02% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)53.98% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 35.97%
    Luton Town 39.85%
    Draw 24.17%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawLuton Town
2-1 @ 8.15% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.15% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.24% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.98% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.09% (0.015 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.56% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.46% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.13% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.94% (0.0079999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 35.97%
1-1 @ 11.11% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.33% (0.012 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.88% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.6% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.17%
1-2 @ 8.64% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.58% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.89% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-3 @ 4.48% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.28% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.05% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.74% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.28% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.19% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 39.85%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Luton

Plymouth Argyle
25.2%
Draw
15.9%
Luton Town
58.9%
151
Head to Head
Mar 9, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 36
Plymouth
0-0
Luton
Carey (29'), Edwards (42'), Canavan (62'), Fox (80')
Hylton (30'), Shinnie (74')
Nov 17, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 18
Luton
5-1
Plymouth
Collins (12', 45' pen., 77'), Lee (23'), Justin (29')
Grant (89')
O'Keefe (52'), Carey (73')
Feb 25, 2017 3pm
Aug 6, 2016 3pm
Plymouth
0-3
Luton

Miller (45')
Hylton (50'), Marriott (69'), Smith (96')
Hylton (26'), Ruddock (55'), Potts (71'), McGeehan (98')
Potts (89')
Mar 19, 2016 3pm
Plymouth
0-1
Luton

Purrington (86')
Marriott (27')
Smith (59'), McGeehan (77'), Rea (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Broncos
@
Saints
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland96121881019
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd9630123919
3Burnley95311441018
4West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom9522126617
5Leeds UnitedLeeds9441157816
6Watford95131414016
7Norwich CityNorwich94321610615
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn94321511415
9Middlesbrough9423107314
10Oxford UnitedOxford Utd93331311212
11Swansea CitySwansea933386212
12Derby CountyDerby94051212012
13Hull City93331213-112
14Plymouth ArgylePlymouth93241013-311
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds93241115-411
16Bristol City92521014-411
17Stoke CityStoke93151012-210
18Millwall9234121119
19Preston North EndPreston9234712-59
20Coventry CityCoventry92251013-38
21Luton TownLuton9225815-78
22Queens Park RangersQPR9144916-77
23Portsmouth9054920-115
24Cardiff CityCardiff9126418-145


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