MX23RW : Saturday, November 9 00:42:49| >> :300:86500:86500:
Blackburn logo
Bristol City
Burnley logo
Cardiff City logo
Coventry City
Derby logo
Hull logo
Leeds logo
Luton Town
Middlesbrough logo
Millwall logo
Norwich logo
Oxford United
Plymouth Argyle
Portsmouth
Preston North End logo
QPR logo
Sheffield United logo
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Stoke logo
Sunderland
Swansea logo
Watford logo
West Brom logo
Watford logo
Championship | Gameweek 9
Oct 5, 2024 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
Middlesbrough logo

Watford
2 - 1
Middlesbrough

Kayembe (76'), Baah (87')
Cleverley (24'), Porteous (88'), Chakvetadze (90+5'), Baah (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Edmundson (54')
Hackney (23')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Watford and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Preston 3-0 Watford
Wednesday, October 2 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Watford 2-1 Middlesbrough

Although Middlesbrough will be on a high from their win at West Brom, a second away test in quick succession may be a tough ask. With that in mind, we feel that Watford may edge this fixture by the odd goal in three, even with having less recovery time. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 37.69%. A win for Watford had a probability of 36.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.23%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-0 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Watford in this match.

Result
WatfordDrawMiddlesbrough
36.51% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 25.79% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07) 37.69% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Both teams to score 54.94% (0.233 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.73% (0.299 0.3)49.27% (-0.297 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.67% (0.268 0.27)71.32% (-0.267 -0.27)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.79% (0.13799999999999 0.14)26.21% (-0.138 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.7% (0.183 0.18)61.3% (-0.182 -0.18)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.45% (0.17699999999999 0.18)25.55% (-0.175 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.59% (0.242 0.24)60.41% (-0.24 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Watford 36.51%
    Middlesbrough 37.69%
    Draw 25.79%
WatfordDrawMiddlesbrough
1-0 @ 8.97% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-1 @ 8.19% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 6% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.66% (0.017 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.68% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.5% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.22% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 36.51%
1-1 @ 12.23% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.7% (-0.081 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.59% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.14% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.79%
0-1 @ 9.14% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)
1-2 @ 8.35% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.23% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.8% (0.027 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.84% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.54% (0.028 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.3% (0.016 0.02)
0-4 @ 0.97% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 37.69%

How you voted: Watford vs Middlesbrough

Watford
48.9%
Draw
14.9%
Middlesbrough
36.2%
47
Head to Head
May 4, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 46
Middlesbrough
3-1
Watford
Latte Lath (28'), Bangura (78'), Jones (84')
Azaz (33')
Hoedt (73')
Pollock (20')
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Watford
2-3
Middlesbrough
Issouf Bayo (19'), Hoedt (52')
Porteous (40'), Sierralta (55')
McGree (5', 12'), Coburn (63')
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 29
Middlesbrough
2-0
Watford
Akpom (36'), Forss (45+3')
Aug 30, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 7
Watford
2-1
Middlesbrough
Sarr (24'), Issouf Bayo (90+3')
Sierralta (61'), Choudhury (90+2')
Muniz (4')
Crooks (38'), Jones (82'), McNair (87'), McGree (90+2')
Apr 5, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 40
Middlesbrough
1-1
Watford
Bolasie (78')
Sarr (32')
Chalobah (25')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland149322391430
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd149321871128
3Leeds UnitedLeeds147522291326
4Watford158162322125
5Burnley146621761124
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom14572148622
7Millwall146441712522
8Middlesbrough146351816221
9Swansea CitySwansea14545119219
10Blackburn RoversBlackburn145451616019
11Bristol City144731819-119
12Norwich CityNorwich144642320318
13Derby CountyDerby145361818018
14Stoke CityStoke145361718-118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds145361724-718
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry144371819-115
18Hull City143651518-315
19Luton TownLuton144371621-515
20Preston North EndPreston143651420-615
21Cardiff CityCardiff144371320-715
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth144371425-1115
23Queens Park RangersQPR141761223-1110
24Portsmouth141671327-149


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!