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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 37.69%. A win for Watford had a probability of 36.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.23%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-0 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Watford in this match.
Result | ||
Watford | Draw | Middlesbrough |
36.51% ( -0.01) | 25.79% ( -0.07) | 37.69% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 54.94% ( 0.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.73% ( 0.3) | 49.27% ( -0.3) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.67% ( 0.27) | 71.32% ( -0.27) |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.79% ( 0.14) | 26.21% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.7% ( 0.18) | 61.3% ( -0.18) |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.45% ( 0.18) | 25.55% ( -0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.59% ( 0.24) | 60.41% ( -0.24) |
Score Analysis |
Watford | Draw | Middlesbrough |
1-0 @ 8.97% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 8.19% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.66% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.68% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.3% Total : 36.51% | 1-1 @ 12.23% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.7% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.79% | 0-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 8.35% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.23% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.8% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.53% Total : 37.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 30 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 28 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 26 |
4 | Watford | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 25 |
5 | Burnley | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 24 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 22 |
7 | Millwall | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 22 |
8 | Middlesbrough | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 21 |
9 | Swansea CitySwansea | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 19 |
10 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 19 |
11 | Bristol City | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 18 |
13 | Derby CountyDerby | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 18 |
14 | Stoke CityStoke | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 18 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 18 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 17 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 15 |
18 | Hull City | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 15 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 15 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 15 |
22 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 15 |
23 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 14 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 10 |
24 | Portsmouth | 14 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 9 |
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