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Championship | Gameweek 39
Apr 27, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Cardiff City logo

Middlesbrough
2 - 0
Cardiff

Tavernier (28'), McGree (53')
Jones (88'), Howson (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Nelson (27'), Wintle (33'), Denham (62'), Vaulks (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derby 0-1 Cardiff
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 2-1 Cardiff City

While Boro are not quite at the point of no return, they will know that a draw will likely be no good to them in the grand scheme of things. With that in mind, we expect an offensive-minded performance from Wilder's men, who we are backing to prevail by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 50.63%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 24.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (7.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawCardiff City
50.63%25.28%24.09%
Both teams to score 50.08%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.44%52.56%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.78%74.22%
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.23%20.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.59%53.42%
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.21%36.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.42%73.58%
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 50.63%
    Cardiff City 24.09%
    Draw 25.27%
MiddlesbroughDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 12.01%
2-0 @ 9.44%
2-1 @ 9.44%
3-0 @ 4.95%
3-1 @ 4.94%
3-2 @ 2.47%
4-0 @ 1.94%
4-1 @ 1.94%
4-2 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 50.63%
1-1 @ 12%
0-0 @ 7.64%
2-2 @ 4.72%
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 25.27%
0-1 @ 7.64%
1-2 @ 6%
0-2 @ 3.82%
1-3 @ 2%
2-3 @ 1.57%
0-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 24.09%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Cardiff

Middlesbrough
76.8%
Draw
15.2%
Cardiff City
8.0%
138
Head to Head
Oct 23, 2021 12.30pm
Cardiff
0-2
Middlesbrough

Pack (28'), McGuinness (34'), Flint (70')
Sporar (35' pen.), Payero (74')
Ikpeazu (38')
Feb 27, 2021 3pm
Oct 24, 2020 3pm
Sep 21, 2019 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
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Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley136521761123
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Millwall135441612419
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
9Bristol City134721717019
10Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
11Middlesbrough135351415-118
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139


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