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Championship | Gameweek 41
Apr 9, 2022 at 3pm UK
Madejski Stadium
Cardiff City logo

Reading
1 - 2
Cardiff

Joao (7')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Doughty (59'), Vaulks (85')
Ng (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Reading and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luton 1-0 Reading
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Derby 0-1 Cardiff
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Reading 2-0 Cardiff City

Reading are gradually building momentum and edging ever closer to safety, so we think that they will get another important three points on the board at home. Cardiff have very little to play for and will be shaken by their derby defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 38.84%. A win for Reading had a probability of 34.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.

Result
ReadingDrawCardiff City
34.25%26.91%38.84%
Both teams to score 51.03%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.85%54.14%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.44%75.56%
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.07%29.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.96%66.04%
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.82%27.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.42%62.58%
Score Analysis
    Reading 34.25%
    Cardiff City 38.84%
    Draw 26.9%
ReadingDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 9.81%
2-1 @ 7.71%
2-0 @ 5.92%
3-1 @ 3.1%
3-0 @ 2.38%
3-2 @ 2.02%
4-1 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 34.25%
1-1 @ 12.78%
0-0 @ 8.13%
2-2 @ 5.02%
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.9%
0-1 @ 10.59%
1-2 @ 8.33%
0-2 @ 6.9%
1-3 @ 3.62%
0-3 @ 3%
2-3 @ 2.18%
1-4 @ 1.18%
0-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 38.84%

How you voted: Reading vs Cardiff

Reading
90.0%
Draw
6.7%
Cardiff City
3.3%
30
Head to Head
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Cardiff
0-1
Reading

Pack (32'), Ralls (37'), Collins (84'), McGuinness (90+3')
Hoilett (38')
Apr 16, 2021 6pm
Reading
1-1
Cardiff
Meite (90+3')
Moore (87' pen.)
Nelson (46'), Pack (50'), Brown (78')
Sep 26, 2020 3pm
Cardiff
1-2
Reading
Tomlin (81')
Hoilett (18'), Moore (53')
Morrison (47'), Joao (66')
Olise (90+5')
Feb 4, 2020 7.45pm
Cardiff
3-3
Reading
Reading win 4-1 on penalties
Murphy (19', 93'), Glatzel (54')
Vaulks (39'), Richards (66'), Whyte (75'), Murphy (87')
Richards (69'), Rinomhota (79'), Meite (116')
Osho (81'), Richards (87'), Rinomhota (99')
Jan 31, 2020 7.45pm
Cardiff
1-1
Reading
Paterson (70')
Richards (56'), Nelson (88'), Morrison (90')
Meite (8')
Baldock (45'), Obita (56')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2612683123842
6Middlesbrough26118743321141
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
8Watford26115103637-138
9Bristol City2691073330337
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2678112941-1229
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Cardiff CityCardiff2659122641-1524
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Portsmouth2558123044-1423
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2649132554-2921


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