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Championship | Gameweek 14
Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Stoke logo

Middlesbrough
0 - 2
Stoke


McNair (53'), van den Berg (57')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Rose (8'), Leris (37')
Thompson (69'), Stevens (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 1-0 Leeds
Wednesday, October 25 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 2-0 Stoke City

While Stoke deserve credit for their last two victories, facing the in-form team in the division on away territory is a different level of task. We expect Boro to continue on their way, recording another win that could see them move into the top six. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 48.68%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 27.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-2 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawStoke City
48.68% (0.0030000000000001 0) 23.65% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 27.67% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 58.66% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.19% (-0.052 -0.05)42.81% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.79% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)65.21% (0.046000000000006 0.05)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.25% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)17.74% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.58% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)48.42% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.31% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)28.68% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.49% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)64.5% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 48.68%
    Stoke City 27.67%
    Draw 23.64%
MiddlesbroughDrawStoke City
2-1 @ 9.5% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-0 @ 8.8% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.61% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 4.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.42% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.37% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.9%
4-2 @ 1.48% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 48.68%
1-1 @ 10.98%
2-2 @ 5.93% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 5.09% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.42% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.64%
1-2 @ 6.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 6.36% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.97%
1-3 @ 2.86% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.47% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.65% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 27.67%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Stoke

Middlesbrough
76.2%
Draw
14.3%
Stoke City
9.5%
21
Head to Head
Mar 14, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 37
Middlesbrough
1-1
Stoke
Akpom (23')
Hoever (45')
Aug 17, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Stoke
2-2
Middlesbrough
Brown (19'), Wright-Phillips (90+1')
Brown (41'), Baker (51')
Watmore (38'), Jagielka (63' og.)
Dijksteel (90+1')
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 45
Middlesbrough
3-1
Stoke
Crooks (21', 72'), Baker (25' og.)
Powell (90+4')
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 22
Stoke
0-0
Middlesbrough
Batth (35'), Smith (72')
Dijksteel (10')
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 36
Middlesbrough
3-0
Stoke
Hall (21'), McNair (40'), Mendez-Laing (88')

Powell (23')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd28186440182258
2Leeds UnitedLeeds27168351193256
3Sunderland28159440221854
4Burnley27141123192253
5Middlesbrough28128846341244
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn28126103126542
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2891453324941
8Watford28125113939041
9Queens Park RangersQPR2891183235-338
10Bristol City2791083331237
11Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27107103843-537
12Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
13Coventry CityCoventry2898113737035
14Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2898113343-1035
15Swansea CitySwansea2897123135-434
16Preston North EndPreston2871383035-534
17Millwall27710102626031
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Cardiff CityCardiff28610123143-1228
20Derby CountyDerby2876153138-727
21Hull City2868142738-1126
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2875162947-1826
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


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