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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 48.68%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 27.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-2 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Middlesbrough | Draw | Stoke City |
48.68% ( 0) | 23.65% ( 0.01) | 27.67% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 58.66% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.19% ( -0.05) | 42.81% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.79% ( -0.05) | 65.21% ( 0.05) |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.25% ( -0.02) | 17.74% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.58% ( -0.03) | 48.42% ( 0.02) |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.31% ( -0.04) | 28.68% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.49% ( -0.05) | 64.5% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Middlesbrough | Draw | Stoke City |
2-1 @ 9.5% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.8% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.61% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.48% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.39% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.42% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.37% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.9% 4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0) Other @ 3.74% Total : 48.68% | 1-1 @ 10.98% 2-2 @ 5.93% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.09% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.64% | 1-2 @ 6.86% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.36% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.97% 1-3 @ 2.86% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.47% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.65% ( -0) Other @ 3.51% Total : 27.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 58 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 51 | 19 | 32 | 56 |
3 | Sunderland | 28 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 40 | 22 | 18 | 54 |
4 | Burnley | 27 | 14 | 11 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 53 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 44 |
6 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 42 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 28 | 9 | 14 | 5 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 41 |
8 | Watford | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 41 |
9 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 38 |
10 | Bristol City | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 37 |
11 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 36 |
13 | Coventry CityCoventry | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 37 | 37 | 0 | 35 |
14 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 35 |
15 | Swansea CitySwansea | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 34 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 28 | 7 | 13 | 8 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 34 |
17 | Millwall | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 31 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 28 |
19 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 28 |
20 | Derby CountyDerby | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 27 |
21 | Hull City | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 26 |
22 | Portsmouth | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 26 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 26 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 27 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 25 | 55 | -30 | 21 |
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