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Championship | Gameweek 4
Aug 17, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Middlesbrough logo

Stoke
2 - 2
Middlesbrough

Brown (19'), Wright-Phillips (90+1')
Brown (41'), Baker (51')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Watmore (38'), Jagielka (63' og.)
Dijksteel (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Stoke City 1-2 Middlesbrough

At some point, the likelihood is that forward lines with plenty of quality will eventually find some form, and that could be the case on Wednesday. However, we feel that there is a greater vulnerability about Stoke, leading us to predict a narrow victory for the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 32.24% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 0-1 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
Stoke CityDrawMiddlesbrough
40.07% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 27.7%32.24%
Both teams to score 48.18% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)57.53%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.68% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)78.32% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.91% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)28.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)63.76%
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)33% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.42%69.58% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 40.06%
    Middlesbrough 32.23%
    Draw 27.69%
Stoke CityDrawMiddlesbrough
1-0 @ 11.76%
2-1 @ 8.29%
2-0 @ 7.47%
3-1 @ 3.51% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.16% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.94%
4-1 @ 1.11%
4-0 @ 1%
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 40.06%
1-1 @ 13.04%
0-0 @ 9.27%
2-2 @ 4.59%
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.69%
0-1 @ 10.27%
1-2 @ 7.23%
0-2 @ 5.7%
1-3 @ 2.67%
0-3 @ 2.11%
2-3 @ 1.7%
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 32.23%

How you voted: Stoke vs Middlesbrough

Stoke City
33.6%
Draw
25.6%
Middlesbrough
40.8%
125
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Middlesbrough
3-1
Stoke
Crooks (21', 72'), Baker (25' og.)
Powell (90+4')
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
Dec 5, 2020 3pm
Stoke
1-0
Middlesbrough
Collins (19')
Campbell (69'), Brown (79')

Fry (26'), Saville (70'), Bola (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2612683123842
6Middlesbrough26118743321141
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
8Watford26115103637-138
9Bristol City2691073330337
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2678112941-1229
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Cardiff CityCardiff2659122641-1524
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Portsmouth2558123044-1423
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2649132554-2921


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