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Sunderland
Championship | Gameweek 11
Oct 7, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Stadium of Light
Middlesbrough logo

Sunderland
0 - 4
Middlesbrough


Neill (17'), Ballard (45+5'), Roberts (70'), Clarke (74')
Neill (45+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Greenwood (58'), Crooks (60'), Jones (72'), Forss (90')
Jones (32'), Coburn (45+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Sunderland and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland 2-0 Watford
Wednesday, October 4 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Sunderland 2-2 Middlesbrough

Despite their contrasting fortunes throughout this season, this match looks evenly-poised given how Boro have improved of late. We expect a thriller of a game, one which Sunderland may salvage a share of the spoils from during the closing stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 42.03%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 33.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.54%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 2-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
SunderlandDrawMiddlesbrough
33.31% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09) 24.66% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 42.03% (0.102 0.1)
Both teams to score 58.29% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.31% (0.010999999999996 0.01)44.69% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.94% (0.009999999999998 0.01)67.05% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.08% (-0.050000000000011 -0.05)25.92% (0.052 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.08% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)60.91% (0.07 0.07)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.68% (0.052000000000007 0.05)21.32% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.73% (0.079000000000001 0.08)54.27% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Sunderland 33.31%
    Middlesbrough 42.03%
    Draw 24.66%
SunderlandDrawMiddlesbrough
2-1 @ 7.78% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.46% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.04% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.5% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.71% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 2.27% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.18% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 33.31%
1-1 @ 11.53%
2-2 @ 6.02% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 5.53% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.66%
1-2 @ 8.91% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.54% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.6% (0.018 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.59% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.4% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.1% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.77% (0.008 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.31% (0.008 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.2% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 42.03%

How you voted: Sunderland vs Middlesbrough

Sunderland
70.0%
Draw
10.0%
Middlesbrough
20.0%
10
Head to Head
Jan 22, 2023 12pm
Sep 5, 2022 8pm
Jul 27, 2018 7.30pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Middlesbrough
0-0
Sunderland
Feb 24, 2018 3pm
Sunderland
3-3
Middlesbrough
Asoro (11'), Williams (58'), McManaman (90')
Maja (45'), Honeyman (65'), McGeady (84'), Oviedo (90'), McManaman (90')
Clarke-Salter (24')
Bamford (50', 68'), Leadbitter (53' pen.)
Leadbitter (55')
Traore (37')
Jan 6, 2018 1pm
Third Round
Middlesbrough
2-0
Sunderland
Gestede (10'), Braithwaite (42')
Leadbitter (50'), Traore (55')

Honeyman (25'), Love (57')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds30189360194163
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd30196541212061
3Burnley30151323692758
4Sunderland291510442241855
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn30136113429545
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom301014639271244
7Middlesbrough29128947361144
8Norwich CityNorwich30119104942742
9Bristol City30101283835342
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds30119104346-342
11Coventry CityCoventry30118114138341
12Watford30125134042-241
13Millwall301010103027340
14Queens Park RangersQPR30911103339-638
15Preston North EndPreston3081393338-537
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd30910113444-1037
17Swansea CitySwansea3097143242-1034
18Stoke CityStoke30711122837-932
19Cardiff CityCardiff30710133351-1831
20Portsmouth3079143652-1630
21Hull City3078153140-929
22Derby CountyDerby3076173241-927
23Luton TownLuton3076173049-1927
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth30510152963-3425


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