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Championship | Gameweek 11
Oct 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Den
Hull logo

Millwall
2 - 2
Hull City

Watmore (8'), Bryan (54')
McNamara (9'), Harding (36'), De Norre (52'), Bryan (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Philogene-Bidace (25'), Traore (30')
Allsop (51'), Connolly (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Hull City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Plymouth 0-2 Millwall
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Ipswich 3-0 Hull City
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 1-1 Hull City

Hull City will be keen to bounce back from Tuesday's defeat, while Millwall will have renewed positivity from their away win, but Rowett's men have not excelled on home turf this season, and we anticipate a share of the spoils at The Den. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 48.79%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Hull City had a probability of 25.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for a Hull City win it was 0-1 (8.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
MillwallDrawHull City
48.79% (0.358 0.36) 25.88% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07) 25.32% (-0.288 -0.29)
Both teams to score 49.5% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.09% (0.066000000000003 0.07)53.91% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.63% (0.055 0.05)75.37% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.88% (0.187 0.19)22.12% (-0.188 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.51% (0.28 0.28)55.49% (-0.281 -0.28)
Hull City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.56% (-0.21100000000001 -0.21)36.44% (0.209 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.77% (-0.213 -0.21)73.22% (0.211 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 48.79%
    Hull City 25.33%
    Draw 25.88%
MillwallDrawHull City
1-0 @ 12.16% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.26% (0.026 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.17% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
3-1 @ 4.66% (0.04 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.61% (0.065 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.35% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.76% (0.025 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.74% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 48.79%
1-1 @ 12.27% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 8.06% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.68% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 25.88%
0-1 @ 8.14% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
1-2 @ 6.2% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.11% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.09% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.57% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.38% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 25.33%

How you voted: Millwall vs Hull City

Millwall
34.6%
Draw
46.2%
Hull City
19.2%
26
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
Apr 18, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 43
Millwall
2-1
Hull City
Malone (51'), Bradshaw (55')
Ballard (16'), Bialkowski (87')
Eaves (87')
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 20
Hull City
2-1
Millwall
Honeyman (29'), Longman (54')
Smallwood (40'), Eaves (89')
Bradshaw (45+1')
McNamara (63'), Afobe (89')
Jul 11, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley136521761123
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Millwall135441612419
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
9Bristol City134721717019
10Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
11Middlesbrough135351415-118
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139


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