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Championship | Gameweek 11
Oct 23, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Den
Plymouth Argyle

Millwall
1 - 0
Plymouth

Esse (13')
Honeyman (8'), Azeez (45+1'), Saville (59'), Cooper (76'), Bryan (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Szucs (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Millwall and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 1-1 Derby
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 5-0 Plymouth
Saturday, October 19 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 3-0 Plymouth Argyle

After battling back for a point against Derby on the weekend, Millwall will be desperate to grab all three points against Plymouth on Wednesday night. The Green Army are woeful on the road and with little time between Saturday's mauling at Cardiff and the trip to The Den, we are expecting a similar result for Rooney's side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 58.31%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 18.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.13%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (6.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Millwall in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Millwall.

Result
MillwallDrawPlymouth Argyle
58.31% (0.715 0.71) 23.29% (-0.308 -0.31) 18.39% (-0.412 -0.41)
Both teams to score 48.18% (0.199 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.91% (0.633 0.63)51.08% (-0.638 -0.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.06% (0.553 0.55)72.94% (-0.559 -0.56)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.75% (0.48699999999999 0.49)17.24% (-0.492 -0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.44% (0.852 0.85)47.55% (-0.857 -0.86)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.21% (-0.105 -0.11)41.78% (0.101 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.75% (-0.093 -0.09)78.25% (0.087999999999994 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 58.31%
    Plymouth Argyle 18.39%
    Draw 23.29%
MillwallDrawPlymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 12.66% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-0 @ 11.13% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.71% (0.036 0.04)
3-0 @ 6.52% (0.146 0.15)
3-1 @ 5.69% (0.112 0.11)
4-0 @ 2.87% (0.108 0.11)
4-1 @ 2.5% (0.088 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.48% (0.042 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.09% (0.035 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.01% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 58.31%
1-1 @ 11.05% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 7.21% (-0.187 -0.19)
2-2 @ 4.24% (0.0040000000000004 0)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 23.29%
0-1 @ 6.29% (-0.181 -0.18)
1-2 @ 4.82% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-2 @ 2.74% (-0.086 -0.09)
1-3 @ 1.4% (-0.025 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.23% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 18.39%

How you voted: Millwall vs Plymouth

Millwall
73.5%
Draw
11.8%
Plymouth Argyle
14.7%
68
Head to Head
Apr 27, 2024 3pm
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Plymouth
0-2
Millwall

Miller (31'), Pleguezuelo (63')
Flemming (59'), Saville (90+7')
McNamara (52'), Cooper (54'), Campbell (54'), Leonard (89'), Wallace (90+4'), Norton-Cuffy (90+7')
Aug 29, 2018 7.45pm
Second Round
Millwall
3-2
Plymouth
Williams (64' pen.), Gregory (84'), O'Brien (89')
Ness (41'), Ladapo (67')
Edwards (63'), Ness (90')
Nov 10, 2015 7.45pm
Area Quarter-Finals
Plymouth
3-5
Millwall
Jervis (34'), Carey (56'), Kervis (85')
Purrington (91')
Gregory (21', 43', 49', 58'), O'Brien (66')
Webster (93')
Apr 15, 2006 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd28186440182258
2Leeds UnitedLeeds27168351193256
3Sunderland28159440221854
4Burnley27141123192253
5Middlesbrough28128846341244
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn28126103126542
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2891453324941
8Watford28125113939041
9Queens Park RangersQPR2891183235-338
10Bristol City2791083331237
11Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27107103843-537
12Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
13Coventry CityCoventry2898113737035
14Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2898113343-1035
15Swansea CitySwansea2897123135-434
16Preston North EndPreston2871383035-534
17Millwall27710102626031
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Cardiff CityCardiff28610123143-1228
20Derby CountyDerby2876153138-727
21Hull City2868142738-1126
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2875162947-1826
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


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