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Championship | Gameweek 4
Oct 3, 2020 at 12.30pm UK
Carrow Road
Derby logo

Norwich
0 - 1
Derby


Buendia (44'), Zimmermann (54'), Rupp (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Rooney (87')
Shinnie (79'), Knight (79')

The Match

Match Report

The former England captain curled in a fine free-kick.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship fixture between Norwich City and Derby County, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 38.22%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 35.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 1-0 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Derby County in this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawDerby County
35.25%26.52%38.22%
Both teams to score 52.42%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.56%52.44%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.88%74.12%
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.53%28.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.77%64.23%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.28%26.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.01%61.99%
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 35.26%
    Derby County 38.22%
    Draw 26.52%
Norwich CityDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 9.56%
2-1 @ 7.92%
2-0 @ 6%
3-1 @ 3.32%
3-0 @ 2.52%
3-2 @ 2.19%
4-1 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 35.26%
1-1 @ 12.61%
0-0 @ 7.61%
2-2 @ 5.23%
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.52%
0-1 @ 10.03%
1-2 @ 8.32%
0-2 @ 6.62%
1-3 @ 3.66%
0-3 @ 2.91%
2-3 @ 2.3%
1-4 @ 1.21%
0-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 38.22%

Head to Head
Dec 29, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 25
Norwich
3-4
Derby
Godfrey (25'), Pukki (31', 81')
Zimmermann (5'), Aarons (45'), Vrancic (62')
Tomori (36'), Mount (45'), Jozefzoon (87'), Marriott (90')
Evans (66'), Holmes (90'), Wilson (90')
Oct 3, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Derby
1-1
Norwich
Bryson (86')
Bogle (62')
Klose (69')
Zimmermann (45'), Lewis (54')
Feb 10, 2018 3pm
Derby
1-1
Norwich
Vydra (12')
Carson (39'), Weimann (90')
Maddison (72' pen.)
Tettey (30'), Reed (53'), Srbeny (90')
Oct 28, 2017 3pm
Norwich
1-2
Derby
Klose (71')
Klose (60')
Nugent (45'), Winnall (83')
Johnson (66'), Forsyth (69'), Nugent (74')
Jan 2, 2017 3pm
Norwich
3-0
Derby
Oliveira (15', 78', 80')
Pinto (81')

Keogh (41'), Carson (67')
Butterfield (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd28186440182258
2Leeds UnitedLeeds27168351193256
3Sunderland28159440221854
4Burnley27141123192253
5Middlesbrough28128846341244
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn28126103126542
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2891453324941
8Watford28125113939041
9Queens Park RangersQPR2891183235-338
10Bristol City2791083331237
11Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27107103843-537
12Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
13Coventry CityCoventry2898113737035
14Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2898113343-1035
15Swansea CitySwansea2897123135-434
16Preston North EndPreston2871383035-534
17Millwall27710102626031
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Cardiff CityCardiff28610123143-1228
20Derby CountyDerby2876153138-727
21Hull City2868142738-1126
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2875162947-1826
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


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