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Championship header 2

Championship
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Championship | Gameweek 26
Jan 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
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Norwich
1 - 1
Southampton

Sargent (78')
Stacey (23'), McCallum (27'), Sara (54'), Hernandez (87'), McLean (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Armstrong (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Norwich City

All competitions
Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Norwich
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in Championship

Southampton

All competitions
Last Game: Southampton 2-1 Plymouth
Friday, December 29 at 6pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 2-2 Southampton

 This has all of the makings of a fascinating match, and we are expecting it to be an entertaining contest. Southampton will go in search of a fifth straight Championship win, but Norwich have been strong at home this season, and we are therefore finding it difficult to separate the two teams. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 43.98%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 32.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.78%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-2 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawSouthampton
43.98% (-0.269 -0.27) 23.77% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 32.24% (0.25 0.25)
Both teams to score 61.07% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.12% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)40.87% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.74% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)63.26% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.13% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11)18.86% (0.109 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.66% (-0.183 -0.18)50.33% (0.185 0.19)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.28% (0.155 0.16)24.72% (-0.154 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.73% (0.214 0.21)59.26% (-0.21299999999999 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 43.98%
    Southampton 32.24%
    Draw 23.77%
Norwich CityDrawSouthampton
2-1 @ 9.07% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-0 @ 7.78% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.49% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-1 @ 5.04% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.61% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.52% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.1% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.5% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.47% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 43.98%
1-1 @ 10.87% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.34% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.66% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.64% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.77%
1-2 @ 7.6% (0.038 0.04)
0-1 @ 6.52% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.55% (0.038 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.54% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.95% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.12% (0.028 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.24% (0.018 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.03% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 32.24%

How you voted: Norwich vs Southampton

Norwich City
32.6%
Draw
18.6%
Southampton
48.8%
43
Head to Head
Aug 12, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
Southampton
4-4
Norwich
Bednarek (17'), Armstrong (21' pen., 90+7' pen.), Adams (57')
Smallbone (40'), Edozie (45+1'), Tella (50'), Stephens (60'), Adams (76'), Charles (76'), Bednarek (77')
Sargent (7'), Sara (23'), Rowe (45+2'), Fassnacht (84')
McLean (1'), Springett (77'), Stacey (90+1'), Nunez (90+4')
> Preview
Feb 25, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 27
Southampton
2-0
Norwich
Adams (36'), Romeu (88')
Salisu (39')

Pukki (59'), Williams (90')
> Preview
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 12
Norwich
2-1
Southampton
Pukki (7'), Hanley (79')
Williams (64'), Krul (90+3'), Normann (90+4')
Adams (4')
Bednarek (64'), Walker-Peters (71')
> Preview
Jun 19, 2020 6pm
Gameweek 30
Norwich
0-3
Southampton
> Match Report
Dec 4, 2019 7.30pm
Gameweek 15
Southampton
2-1
Norwich
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2612683123842
6Middlesbrough26118743321141
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
8Watford26115103637-138
9Bristol City2691073330337
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2678112941-1229
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Cardiff CityCardiff2659122641-1524
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Portsmouth2558123044-1423
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2649132554-2921
> Championship Full Table


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