We said: Nottingham Forest 3-1 Coventry City
Coventry have reached a point where they may as well push hard for all three points, something which should help the game as a spectacle. However, Forest remain one of the form teams in the division, and we expect the home side to make relatively light work of the Sky Blues.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 47.35%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 26.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 0-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest would win this match.