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Championship | Gameweek 45
Jul 18, 2020 at 12.30pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Brentford logo

Stoke
1 - 0
Brentford

Gregory (38')
Campbell (74'), McClean (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Match Report

The Bees remain one point behind the Baggies with one game to play.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship fixture between Stoke City and Brentford, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 47.02%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 27.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.3%) and 0-2 (8.27%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-0 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Stoke CityDrawBrentford
27.67%25.32%47.02%
Both teams to score 53.12%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.9%50.1%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.93%72.07%
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.52%32.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.99%69.01%
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.68%21.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.73%54.27%
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 27.67%
    Brentford 47.02%
    Draw 25.31%
Stoke CityDrawBrentford
1-0 @ 7.79%
2-1 @ 6.77%
2-0 @ 4.38%
3-1 @ 2.54%
3-2 @ 1.96%
3-0 @ 1.64%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 27.67%
1-1 @ 12.03%
0-0 @ 6.93%
2-2 @ 5.23%
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.31%
0-1 @ 10.7%
1-2 @ 9.3%
0-2 @ 8.27%
1-3 @ 4.79%
0-3 @ 4.26%
2-3 @ 2.69%
1-4 @ 1.85%
0-4 @ 1.65%
2-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 47.02%

Head to Head
Jan 4, 2020 3.01pm
Third Round
Brentford
1-0
Stoke
Marcondes (43')
Daniels (90')

Campbell (43')
Sep 21, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 8
Brentford
0-0
Stoke
Benrahma (79')
Gregory (22'), McClean (82')
Jan 12, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 27
Brentford
3-1
Stoke
Shawcross (7' og.), Benrahma (17'), Henry (54')
Afobe (23')
Edwards (11'), Allen (82')
Aug 11, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 2
Stoke
1-1
Brentford
Afobe (29')
McClean (13'), Allen (53')
Watkins (66')
Jul 25, 2015 1.30pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Brentford
2-0
Stoke
Gogia (34'), Dallas (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley136521761123
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Millwall135441612419
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
9Bristol City134721717019
10Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
11Middlesbrough135351415-118
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139


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