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Championship | Gameweek 8
Sep 5, 2022 at 8pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Sunderland

Middlesbrough
1 - 0
Sunderland

McGree (25')
McNair (38'), Clarke (40'), Crooks (72'), Jones (80'), Smith (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Pritchard (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Middlesbrough 1-1 Sunderland

Mowbray will return to his former club looking to heap further pressure on Wilder, and there is a strong argument that the visitors are the favourites for this contest. However, a derby could bring the best out of Boro, leading us to predict a competitive draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 56.13%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Sunderland had a probability of 18.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.64%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.66%), while for a Sunderland win it was 0-1 (7.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Middlesbrough in this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawSunderland
56.13% (0.65 0.65) 25.18% (0.168 0.17) 18.7% (-0.814 -0.81)
Both teams to score 43.49% (-1.647 -1.65)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.38% (-1.516 -1.52)57.62% (1.519 1.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.61% (-1.215 -1.22)78.39% (1.219 1.22)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.46% (-0.34 -0.34)20.54% (0.343 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.94% (-0.544 -0.54)53.06% (0.547 0.55)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.74% (-1.828 -1.83)45.26% (1.831 1.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.86% (-1.487 -1.49)81.14% (1.489 1.49)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 56.12%
    Sunderland 18.7%
    Draw 25.17%
MiddlesbroughDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 14.71% (0.68 0.68)
2-0 @ 11.64% (0.42 0.42)
2-1 @ 9.23% (-0.128 -0.13)
3-0 @ 6.14% (0.16 0.16)
3-1 @ 4.87% (-0.121 -0.12)
4-0 @ 2.43% (0.038 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.93% (-0.151 -0.15)
4-1 @ 1.93% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 56.12%
1-1 @ 11.66% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 9.3% (0.525 0.53)
2-2 @ 3.66% (-0.244 -0.24)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 25.17%
0-1 @ 7.37% (0.054 0.05)
1-2 @ 4.62% (-0.256 -0.26)
0-2 @ 2.92% (-0.129 -0.13)
1-3 @ 1.22% (-0.135 -0.14)
2-3 @ 0.97% (-0.118 -0.12)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 18.7%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Sunderland

Middlesbrough
40.0%
Draw
30.0%
Sunderland
30.0%
40
Head to Head
Feb 24, 2018 3pm
Sunderland
3-3
Middlesbrough
Asoro (11'), Williams (58'), McManaman (90')
Maja (45'), Honeyman (65'), McGeady (84'), Oviedo (90'), McManaman (90')
Clarke-Salter (24')
Bamford (50', 68'), Leadbitter (53' pen.)
Leadbitter (55')
Traore (37')
Jan 6, 2018 1pm
Nov 5, 2017 12.15pm
Apr 26, 2017 7.45pm
Middlesbrough
1-0
Sunderland
De Roon (8')
Friend (28'), Clayton (31'), da Silva (71')

O'Shea (37'), Gibson (45'), Jones (77')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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