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Championship | Gameweek 4
Aug 16, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Millwall logo

Swansea
2 - 2
Millwall

Manning (1'), Obafemi (12')
Manning (73'), Obafemi (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Cabango (90+3' og.), Wood (90+5' og.)
Burey (39'), Mitchell (42'), Malone (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Swansea City 3-1 Millwall

Swansea and Millwall head into the game off the back of impressive victories and will both be looking to pick up where they dropped off. However, it is worth noting that the Swans are unbeaten in nine of their last 10 games against the Lions. With that said, we are backing Swansea City to extend this fine record in front of their home fans and come away with a decisive victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 38.3%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 34.33% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Swansea CityDrawMillwall
38.3% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03) 27.37% (0.004999999999999 0) 34.33% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Both teams to score 49.61% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.06% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)55.94% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.96% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)77.04% (0.01700000000001 0.02)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.66% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)28.34% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.93% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)64.07% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.23% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)30.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.96% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)67.04% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 38.29%
    Millwall 34.33%
    Draw 27.36%
Swansea CityDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 10.99%
2-1 @ 8.17% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.93% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 3.43% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 2.91% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.02% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.08% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 0.92% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 38.29%
1-1 @ 12.95%
0-0 @ 8.72% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.82% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 27.36%
0-1 @ 10.27% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.64% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 6.06% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
1-3 @ 3% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 2.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.89%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 34.33%

How you voted: Swansea vs Millwall

Swansea City
65.8%
Draw
19.0%
Millwall
15.2%
79
Head to Head
Apr 5, 2022 7.45pm
Sep 15, 2021 7.45pm
Swansea
0-0
Millwall

Bennett (37'), Downes (83')

Bradshaw (61'), Wallace (77'), Saville (89')
Apr 10, 2021 12.30pm
Millwall
0-3
Swansea
Ayew (45+1'), Lowe (76', 85')
Oct 3, 2020 3pm
Swansea
2-1
Millwall
Bidwell (46'), Cabango (69')
Guehi (27')
Bradshaw (51')
Malone (90+4')
Jun 30, 2020 5pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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