We said: Swansea City 1-0 Reading
After a heavy defeat at Burnley on Saturday, Swansea will be desperate to get back on track against Reading at the Liberty Stadium.
Reading have struggled to pose a threat on the road so far this term, and we do not see that changing on a difficult midweek trip to South Wales.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 55.02%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Reading had a probability of 21.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.