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Championship | Gameweek 12
Oct 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
Sheffield Wednesday logo

Watford
1 - 0
Sheff Weds

Asprilla (82')
Porteous (45'), Lewis (50')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Hendrick (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Watford and Sheffield Wednesday, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 1-1 Watford
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Weds 0-0 Huddersfield
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Watford 2-1 Sheffield Wednesday

Sheffield Wednesday could well be rejuvenated under new management and will be desperate for a first league win of the season, while their hosts are yet to get going this term, but following the break, we see Watford having enough to click into place and return with a victory at Vicarage Road given the superior quality in their squad.
  • Read more.

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 54.17%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 22.24%.

    The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for a Sheffield Wednesday win it was 0-1 (6.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Watford in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Watford.

    Result
    WatfordDrawSheffield Wednesday
    54.17% (0.149 0.15) 23.58% (0.012 0.01) 22.24% (-0.16 -0.16)
    Both teams to score 53.12% (-0.238 -0.24)
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    52.54% (-0.218 -0.22)47.46% (0.218 0.22)
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    30.33% (-0.202 -0.2)69.67% (0.202 0.2)
    Watford Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    82.58% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)17.42% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    52.13% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)47.86% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
    Sheffield Wednesday Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    64.33% (-0.27000000000001 -0.27)35.66% (0.271 0.27)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    27.56% (-0.278 -0.28)72.43% (0.28 0.28)
    Score Analysis
        Watford 54.17%
        Sheffield Wednesday 22.24%
        Draw 23.58%
    WatfordDrawSheffield Wednesday
    1-0 @ 10.85% (0.09 0.09)
    2-1 @ 9.78%
    2-0 @ 9.49% (0.07 0.07)
    3-1 @ 5.7% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
    3-0 @ 5.53% (0.036 0.04)
    3-2 @ 2.94% (-0.024 -0.02)
    4-1 @ 2.49% (-0.004 -0)
    4-0 @ 2.41% (0.013 0.01)
    4-2 @ 1.28% (-0.012 -0.01)
    Other @ 3.7%
    Total : 54.17%
    1-1 @ 11.19% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
    0-0 @ 6.21% (0.056 0.06)
    2-2 @ 5.04% (-0.037 -0.04)
    3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.016 -0.02)
    Other @ 0.12%
    Total : 23.58%
    0-1 @ 6.41% (0.011 0.01)
    1-2 @ 5.77% (-0.037 -0.04)
    0-2 @ 3.3% (-0.019 -0.02)
    1-3 @ 1.98% (-0.028 -0.03)
    2-3 @ 1.73% (-0.026 -0.03)
    0-3 @ 1.14% (-0.015 -0.01)
    Other @ 1.91%
    Total : 22.24%

    How you voted: Watford vs Sheff Weds

    Watford
    73.9%
    Draw
    4.3%
    Sheffield Wednesday
    21.7%
    23
    Head to Head
    Apr 2, 2021 3pm
    Gameweek 39
    Watford
    1-0
    Sheff Weds
    Lees (7' og.)
    Sierralta (30'), Hughes (64')

    Borner (3'), Urhoghide (38'), Reach (41'), Wildsmith (78')
    Sep 19, 2020 3pm
    Gameweek 2
    Sheff Weds
    0-0
    Watford
    Luongo (65'), Bannan (68')
    Chalobah (81'), Garner (88')
    rhs 2.0
    Today's games header
    Tables header RHS
    TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
    1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
    2Burnley27141123192253
    3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
    4Sunderland27149439221751
    5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2612683123842
    6Middlesbrough26118743321141
    7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
    8Watford26115103637-138
    9Bristol City2691073330337
    10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
    11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
    12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
    13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
    14Millwall257992423130
    15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
    16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
    17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2678112941-1229
    18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
    19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
    20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
    21Cardiff CityCardiff2659122641-1524
    22Hull City2658132536-1123
    23Portsmouth2558123044-1423
    24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2649132554-2921


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