MX23RW : Monday, November 4 20:51:00| >> :60:868:868:
Athletico Paranaense
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 19, 2023 at 1am UK
Arena da Baixada
Atletico Mineiro

Athletico PR
2 - 1
Atletico Mineiro

Roque (7'), Terans (35' pen.)
FT(HT: 2-0)
Paulinho (70')
Mariano (26'), Paulinho (34')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Athletico Paranaense and Atletico Mineiro.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Athletico PR 2-0 Goias
Saturday, April 15 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 1-2 Vasco
Sunday, April 16 at 1am in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 37.96%. A win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 34.98% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Athletico ParanaenseDrawAtletico Mineiro
34.98% (0.039000000000001 0.04) 27.06% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 37.96% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 50.66% (0.032999999999994 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.34% (0.040999999999997 0.04)54.66% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.01% (0.032 0.03)75.99% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.28% (0.043000000000006 0.04)29.72% (-0.044 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.22% (0.054000000000002 0.05)65.78% (-0.053999999999988 -0.05)
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.08% (0.00099999999999056 0)27.92% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)63.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Athletico Paranaense 34.97%
    Atletico Mineiro 37.96%
    Draw 27.05%
Athletico ParanaenseDrawAtletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 10.06% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.79% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.11% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.15% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.47% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.01% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 0.96% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 34.97%
1-1 @ 12.84%
0-0 @ 8.3% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.97% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 27.05%
0-1 @ 10.58% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.19% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 6.75% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.49% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 2.87% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.11% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 1.11%
0-4 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 37.96%

Head to Head
Aug 7, 2022 11pm
Atletico Mineiro
2-3
Athletico PR
Rabello (30'), Pavon (54')
Rodrigues de Souza (36')
Roque (46', 56'), Canobbio (90+6')
Pedrinho (51'), Canobbio (76')
Apr 17, 2022 10pm
Athletico PR
0-1
Atletico Mineiro

Pablo (73'), Moura (80')
Zaracho (49')
Fernandez (78'), Ademir (80'), Silva (90+1')
Dec 16, 2021 12.30am
Final
Athletico PR
1-2
Atletico Mineiro
Jaderson (87')
Kayzer (29'), Vinicius (45+5'), Cittadini (45+7')
Keno (25'), Hulk (76')
Vargas (45+7'), Jair (56')
Dec 12, 2021 8.30pm
Final
Atletico Mineiro
4-0
Athletico PR
Hulk (24' pen.), Keno (35'), Vargas (56', 69')
Hulk (22'), Arana (58'), Rabello (80')

Heleno (11'), Hernandez (19'), Henrique (53')
Nov 16, 2021 7pm
Athletico PR
0-1
Atletico Mineiro

Eduardo (41')
Zaracho (45')
Costa (38'), Jair (41')
rhs 2.0
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