Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 11, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio de Liga Deportiva Universitaria
LDU Quito1 - 0Botafogo
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between LDU Quito and Botafogo.
Form, Standings, Stats
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a LDU Quito win with a probability of 40.2%. A win for Botafogo had a probability of 32.81% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a LDU Quito win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Botafogo win was 0-1 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for LDU Quito in this match.
| Result | ||
| LDU Quito | Draw | Botafogo |
40.2% ( -0.09) | 26.99% ( 0.02) | 32.81% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 50.47% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.29% ( -0.07) | 54.71% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.97% ( -0.06) | 76.03% ( 0.06) |
| LDU Quito Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.31% ( -0.09) | 26.68% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.06% ( -0.11) | 61.94% ( 0.12) |
| Botafogo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.85% ( 0.01) | 31.15% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.51% ( 0.01) | 67.49% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
LDU Quito 40.2%
Botafogo 32.81%
Draw 26.98%
| LDU Quito | Draw | Botafogo |
| 1-0 @ 10.98% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.46% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.25% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.73% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.2% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.13% Total : 40.2% | 1-1 @ 12.8% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.98% | 0-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.47% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.9% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0)Other @ 2.97% Total : 32.81% |
Form Guide
