Copa Libertadores | Third Round | 1st Leg
Mar 7, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Nilton Santos
Botafogo2 - 1Bragantino
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Third Round clash between Botafogo and Bragantino.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Botafogo 6-0 Aurora
Thursday, February 29 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Thursday, February 29 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Bragantino 0-0 Aguilas (4-3 pen.)
Wednesday, February 28 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Wednesday, February 28 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 41.95%. A win for Bragantino had a probability of 30.94% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Bragantino win was 0-1 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Botafogo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Botafogo | Draw | Bragantino |
41.95% ( 0.72) | 27.11% ( 0.04) | 30.94% ( -0.76) |
| Both teams to score 49.47% ( -0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
