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Coupe de France | Quarter-Finals
Feb 26, 2025 at 6pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Ble

Brest
2 - 3
Dunkerque

Pereira Lage (45'), Youssouf (59' og.)
Sima (9'), Magnetti (33')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Sasso (65'), Sangante (80', 84')
Kondo (23'), Georgen (35'), Courtet (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Coupe de France clash between Brest and Dunkerque, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Strasbourg 0-0 Brest
Sunday, February 23 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Dunkerque 3-0 Clermont
Friday, February 21 at 7pm in Ligue 2

We said: Brest 3-1 Dunkerque

Dunkerque have punched above their weight a couple of times in this season's Coupe de France, but we expect Wednesday's clash to be their final act with the home side claiming a routine win at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 43.61%. A win for Dunkerque had a probability of 31.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Dunkerque win was 0-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
BrestDrawDunkerque
43.61% (-0.143 -0.14) 24.89% (0.014000000000003 0.01) 31.5% (0.128 0.13)
Both teams to score 56.82% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.69% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)46.31% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.4% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)68.6% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.73% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)21.27% (0.07 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.8% (-0.107 -0.11)54.2% (0.108 0.11)
Dunkerque Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.17% (0.079000000000008 0.08)27.83% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.57% (0.1 0.1)63.43% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Brest 43.61%
    Dunkerque 31.5%
    Draw 24.89%
BrestDrawDunkerque
1-0 @ 9.16% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.07% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.09% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.68% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.66% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.99% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.81% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.42% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.16% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 43.61%
1-1 @ 11.72% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.92% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.8% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.89%
0-1 @ 7.57% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.5% (0.021 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.84% (0.023 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.2% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.47% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.06% (0.014 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.02% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 31.5%

How you voted: Brest vs Dunkerque

Brest
73.2%
Draw
9.8%
Dunkerque
17.1%
41
rhs 2.0
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