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DFB-Pokal | Second Round
Oct 29, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
RheinEnergieStadion

FC Koln
3 - 0
Holstein Kiel

Lemperle (8'), Waldschmidt (84', 90+7')
Struber (38'), Huseinbasic (44'), Lemperle (89'), Paqarada (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gigovic (37'), Porath (52'), Machino (75'), Arp (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's DFB-Pokal clash between FC Koln and Holstein Kiel, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Koln 1-2 SC Paderborn
Friday, October 25 at 5.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 2-1 Holstein Kiel
Saturday, October 26 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: FC Koln 2-1 Holstein Kiel

Both teams are coming into this clash low on confidence, but Koln have still managed to win some games compared to Kiel who have won just one competitive game all season, which is why we expect the hosts to edge this out, even if it goes to extra time. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 61.47%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 18.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.36%) and 1-0 (7.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.73%), while for a Holstein Kiel win it was 1-2 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Koln would win this match.

Result
FC KolnDrawHolstein Kiel
61.47% (-0.0049999999999955 -0) 19.66%18.87% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Both teams to score 61.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.84% (0.0010000000000048 0)34.16% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.95% (0.0020000000000024 0)56.05% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.23% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)10.77% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)34.78%
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.72% (0.0010000000000048 0)31.28% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.37% (0.0040000000000049 0)67.63% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    FC Koln 61.47%
    Holstein Kiel 18.87%
    Draw 19.66%
FC KolnDrawHolstein Kiel
2-1 @ 9.72% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 8.36% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-0 @ 7.51% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 7.22%
3-0 @ 6.21% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 4.2% (0.00099999999999945 0)
4-1 @ 4.02%
4-0 @ 3.46% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 2.34%
5-1 @ 1.79%
5-0 @ 1.54%
5-2 @ 1.04%
4-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 61.47%
1-1 @ 8.73%
2-2 @ 5.65%
0-0 @ 3.37%
3-3 @ 1.63%
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 19.66%
1-2 @ 5.07% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 3.92% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 2.28%
2-3 @ 2.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.97% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 18.87%

How you voted: FC Koln vs Holstein Kiel

FC Koln
70.0%
Draw
14.0%
Holstein Kiel
16.0%
50
Head to Head
May 29, 2021 5pm
Finals 2nd Leg
Holstein Kiel
1-5
FC Koln
Jae-sung (4')
Porath (32')
Hector (3'), Andersson (6', 13'), Czichos (39'), Skhiri (84')
Bornauw (28'), Horn (44'), Horn (65'), Thielmann (88')
May 26, 2021 5.30pm
Finals 1st Leg
FC Koln
0-1
Holstein Kiel

Katterbach (14'), Skhiri (51'), Wolf (53'), Czichos (90')
Lorenz (59')
Bartels (41'), Ignjovski (45'), van den Bergh (46')
Mar 31, 2019 12.30pm
Gameweek 27
FC Koln
4-0
Holstein Kiel
Terodde (22'), Hector (25'), Cordoba (46'), Modeste (90')
Mere (13')

Schmidt (7')
Oct 20, 2018 12pm
Gameweek 10
Holstein Kiel
1-1
FC Koln
Morschel (88')
Okugawa (87')
Terodde (42' pen.)
Ozcan (72'), Schmitz (76'), Horn (89')
rhs 2.0
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