Bundesliga | Gameweek 3
Sep 14, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Holstein-Stadion
Holstein Kiel1 - 6Bayern
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Holstein Kiel 0-2 Wolfsburg
Saturday, August 31 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, August 31 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 2-0 Freiburg
Sunday, September 1 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Sunday, September 1 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: Holstein Kiel 1-5 Bayern Munich
While Holstein Kiel were competitive in their loss against Wolfsburg, they still conceded several chances themselves. It would not be surprising if Bayern's superior attacking quality punished mistakes in their hosts' backline, and the Bavarians should be seen as strong favourites. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 57.33%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 22.85% and a draw had a probability of 19.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.98%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 (5.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Holstein Kiel | Draw | Bayern Munich |
22.85% ( 0.1) | 19.82% ( 0.08) | 57.33% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 67.43% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
