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Bundesliga | Gameweek 6
Oct 5, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
BayArena

B. Leverkusen
2 - 2
Holstein Kiel

Boniface (4'), Hofmann (8')
Frimpong (68'), Tah (90+6')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Geschwill (45+5'), Arp (69' pen.)
Knudsen (60'), Weiner (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Holstein Kiel, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 1-0 AC Milan
Tuesday, October 1 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Holstein Kiel 2-4 Frankfurt
Sunday, September 29 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 4-1 Holstein Kiel

Considering Holstein Kiel's poor form this season and their defensive frailty, it is difficult to see how they avoid defeat. Bayer Leverkusen also boast an exceptional home record, and it would not be surprising if they managed to score multiple goals on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 64.52%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 17.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.13%) and 3-1 (7.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.93%), while for a Holstein Kiel win it was 1-2 (4.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawHolstein Kiel
64.52% (-2.438 -2.44) 18.37% (0.869 0.87) 17.11% (1.571 1.57)
Both teams to score 62.64% (0.336 0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.1% (-1.167 -1.17)30.91% (1.169 1.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.73% (-1.399 -1.4)52.27% (1.401 1.4)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.89% (-0.845 -0.84)9.11% (0.846 0.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.07% (-2.067 -2.07)30.93% (2.069 2.07)
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.92% (1 1)31.08% (-0.999 -1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.6% (1.152 1.15)67.4% (-1.15 -1.15)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 64.52%
    Holstein Kiel 17.11%
    Draw 18.37%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawHolstein Kiel
2-1 @ 9.5% (0.127 0.13)
2-0 @ 8.13% (-0.113 -0.11)
3-1 @ 7.58% (-0.203 -0.2)
1-0 @ 6.78% (0.174 0.17)
3-0 @ 6.49% (-0.359 -0.36)
4-1 @ 4.54% (-0.311 -0.31)
3-2 @ 4.43% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 3.89% (-0.382 -0.38)
4-2 @ 2.66% (-0.105 -0.11)
5-1 @ 2.18% (-0.244 -0.24)
5-0 @ 1.86% (-0.266 -0.27)
5-2 @ 1.27% (-0.104 -0.1)
4-3 @ 1.03% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 4.18%
Total : 64.52%
1-1 @ 7.93% (0.413 0.41)
2-2 @ 5.55% (0.223 0.22)
0-0 @ 2.83% (0.18 0.18)
3-3 @ 1.73% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 18.37%
1-2 @ 4.63% (0.36 0.36)
0-1 @ 3.31% (0.295 0.3)
2-3 @ 2.16% (0.143 0.14)
0-2 @ 1.93% (0.22 0.22)
1-3 @ 1.8% (0.185 0.19)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 17.11%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs Holstein Kiel

Bayer Leverkusen
86.3%
Draw
10.0%
Holstein Kiel
3.8%
80
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern25194274235161
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen25158255302553
3Mainz 05Mainz25135742261644
4Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt25126751391242
5Freiburg2512583436-241
6RB Leipzig2510963933639
7Wolfsburg25108749391038
8Stuttgart2510784439537
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach25114103938137
10Borussia DortmundDortmund25105104539635
11Augsburg259882835-735
12Werder Bremen2596103849-1133
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2576122337-1427
14Hoffenheim2568113247-1526
15St Pauli2564151930-1122
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum2546152550-2518
17Holstein Kiel2545163761-2417
18Heidenheim2544172851-2316


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