MX23RW : Tuesday, November 12 22:31:01| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 6
Oct 5, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
BayArena

B. Leverkusen
2 - 2
Holstein Kiel

Boniface (4'), Hofmann (8')
Frimpong (68'), Tah (90+6')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Geschwill (45+5'), Arp (69' pen.)
Knudsen (60'), Weiner (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Holstein Kiel, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 1-0 AC Milan
Tuesday, October 1 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Holstein Kiel 2-4 Frankfurt
Sunday, September 29 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 4-1 Holstein Kiel

Considering Holstein Kiel's poor form this season and their defensive frailty, it is difficult to see how they avoid defeat. Bayer Leverkusen also boast an exceptional home record, and it would not be surprising if they managed to score multiple goals on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 64.52%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 17.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.13%) and 3-1 (7.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.93%), while for a Holstein Kiel win it was 1-2 (4.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawHolstein Kiel
64.52% (-2.438 -2.44) 18.37% (0.869 0.87) 17.11% (1.571 1.57)
Both teams to score 62.64% (0.336 0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.1% (-1.167 -1.17)30.91% (1.169 1.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.73% (-1.399 -1.4)52.27% (1.401 1.4)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.89% (-0.845 -0.84)9.11% (0.846 0.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.07% (-2.067 -2.07)30.93% (2.069 2.07)
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.92% (1 1)31.08% (-0.999 -1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.6% (1.152 1.15)67.4% (-1.15 -1.15)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 64.52%
    Holstein Kiel 17.11%
    Draw 18.37%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawHolstein Kiel
2-1 @ 9.5% (0.127 0.13)
2-0 @ 8.13% (-0.113 -0.11)
3-1 @ 7.58% (-0.203 -0.2)
1-0 @ 6.78% (0.174 0.17)
3-0 @ 6.49% (-0.359 -0.36)
4-1 @ 4.54% (-0.311 -0.31)
3-2 @ 4.43% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 3.89% (-0.382 -0.38)
4-2 @ 2.66% (-0.105 -0.11)
5-1 @ 2.18% (-0.244 -0.24)
5-0 @ 1.86% (-0.266 -0.27)
5-2 @ 1.27% (-0.104 -0.1)
4-3 @ 1.03% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 4.18%
Total : 64.52%
1-1 @ 7.93% (0.413 0.41)
2-2 @ 5.55% (0.223 0.22)
0-0 @ 2.83% (0.18 0.18)
3-3 @ 1.73% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 18.37%
1-2 @ 4.63% (0.36 0.36)
0-1 @ 3.31% (0.295 0.3)
2-3 @ 2.16% (0.143 0.14)
0-2 @ 1.93% (0.22 0.22)
1-3 @ 1.8% (0.185 0.19)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 17.11%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs Holstein Kiel

Bayer Leverkusen
86.3%
Draw
10.0%
Holstein Kiel
3.8%
80
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202


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