Bundesliga | Gameweek 4
Sep 21, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Vonovia Ruhrstadion
VfL Bochum2 - 2Holstein Kiel
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Freiburg 2-1 VfL Bochum
Saturday, September 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, September 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Holstein Kiel 1-6 Bayern
Saturday, September 14 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, September 14 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: VfL Bochum 2-1 Holstein Kiel
While Bochum will fancy themselves against wet-behind-the-ears opposition in Kiel, the new boys hope their expertise on the road under Rapp stands them in good stead in North Rhine-Westphalia. Even though Saturday's outcome could be a score draw, we back the hosts to eke out a marginal victory against the promoted side to register their first points of the season. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 43.84%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 33.47% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.35%) and 2-0 (5.7%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| VfL Bochum | Draw | Holstein Kiel |
43.84% ( 1.86) | 22.69% ( -0.48) | 33.47% ( -1.39) |
| Both teams to score 65.62% ( 1.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
