MX23RW : Monday, March 10 21:23:19| >> :300:86500:86500:
De Graafschap
Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 20
Jan 13, 2023 at 7pm UK
De Vijverberg

De Graafschap
3 - 0
Jong Ajax

Benschop (26', 83'), Haen (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gooijer (36')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between De Graafschap and Jong Ajax.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: MVV 2-2 De Graafschap
Friday, January 6 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Jong Ajax 1-1 FC Eindhoven
Friday, January 6 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 50.47%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 26.83% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.94%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 1-2 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that De Graafschap would win this match.

Result
De GraafschapDrawJong Ajax
50.47% (0.025000000000006 0.03) 22.7% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 26.83% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 61.26% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.94% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)39.06% (0.055 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.62% (-0.058 -0.06)61.38% (0.059000000000005 0.06)
De Graafschap Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.32% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)15.68% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.26% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)44.74% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Jong Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.66% (-0.050999999999988 -0.05)27.34% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.21% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07)62.79% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Score Analysis
    De Graafschap 50.47%
    Jong Ajax 26.83%
    Draw 22.7%
De GraafschapDrawJong Ajax
2-1 @ 9.54% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 7.94% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.36% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.89%
3-0 @ 4.54% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.82% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.73% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.1% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 1.77% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 1.01% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 50.47%
1-1 @ 10.3% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.19% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.29% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.65% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 22.7%
1-2 @ 6.68% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-1 @ 5.56% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.61% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.89% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.68% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.56% (-0.002 -0)
1-4 @ 0.94% (-0.0039999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 26.83%

How you voted: De Graafschap vs Jong Ajax

De Graafschap
50.0%
Draw
33.3%
Jong Ajax
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Aug 22, 2022 7pm
Jong Ajax
5-1
De Graafschap
Hansen (9', 44'), Misehouy (70'), Rasmussen (73'), Lucca (80')
Warmerdam (3')
Neghli (42')
Schenk (23')
May 6, 2022 7pm
Nov 26, 2021 7pm
De Graafschap
1-3
Jong Ajax
Konings (43')
Fortes (48'), Brittijn (53')
Unuvar (24'), Rasmussen (88'), Martha (90+1')
May 7, 2021 7pm
Jong Ajax
1-1
De Graafschap
Taylor (23')
Mendez (90+11')
Van Huizen (64')
van Huizen (90+1')
Dec 11, 2020 8pm
De Graafschap
2-2
Jong Ajax
Douglas (12' og.), Seuntjens (27')
van Huizen (87'), van Mieghem (90')
Verbeek (31')
Martha (16'), Hansen (57')
Hlynsson (41')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC VolendamVolendam29194665353061
2Cambuur30174948272155
3ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag29167650321855
4SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior30158753332053
5Dordrecht30158750401053
6De GraafschapDe Graafschap29147858411749
7TelstarTelstar29128951361544
8Den BoschDen Bosch30127114236643
9Roda JC2911994038242
10Helmond SportHelmond29126114342142
11EmmenEmmen29125124441341
12FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven29116124548-339
13Jong AZJong AZ2896135053-333
14MVV MaastrichtMVV2989124247-533
15Jong AjaxJong Ajax2987143438-431
16VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo2885152749-2229
17TOP OssOss30611132250-2829
18Jong PSVJong PSV2964194262-2022
19Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht2939172562-3718
20Vitesse3098134263-218


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!