Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 27
Feb 21, 2025 at 7pm UK
Stadion De Vijverberg
De Graafschap5 - 1Jong AZ
van Gilst (3', 21'), van de Haar (31'), Niemeijer (65'), Warmerdam (90+2')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Kalisvaart (87')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between De Graafschap and Jong AZ.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Vitesse 2-0 De Graafschap
Sunday, February 16 at 11.15am in Eerste Divisie
Sunday, February 16 at 11.15am in Eerste Divisie
Goals
for
for
49
Last Game: Roda JC 3-3 Jong AZ
Friday, February 7 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Friday, February 7 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Goals
for
for
43
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 66.7%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Jong AZ had a probability of 15.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.23%) and 3-1 (7.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.56%), while for a Jong AZ win it was 1-2 (4.31%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that De Graafschap would win this match.
| Result | ||
| De Graafschap | Draw | Jong AZ |
66.7% ( 0.05) | 17.6% ( -0.01) | 15.7% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 62.34% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
