MX23RW : Monday, March 10 21:40:18| >> :300:86500:86500:
Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 4
Sep 1, 2023 at 7pm UK
De Geusselt

MVV
2 - 1
Jong Ajax

Kostons (3', 13')
Kostons (42'), Coomans (64'), Matthys (90+1')
Souren (75')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Misehouy (87')
Gooijer (42'), Misehouy (90+1'), Agougil (90+5'), Vos (90+4')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between MVV Maastricht and Jong Ajax.

Form, Standings, Stats

MVV Maastricht

All competitions
Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Dordrecht 2-2 MVV
Friday, August 25 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Jong Ajax

All competitions
Last Game: Cambuur 4-2 Jong Ajax
Friday, August 25 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MVV Maastricht win with a probability of 50.48%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 27.85% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.41%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 1-2 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for MVV Maastricht in this match.

Result
MVV MaastrichtDrawJong Ajax
50.48% (0.123 0.12) 21.67% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 27.85% (-0.114 -0.11)
Both teams to score 66% (-0.050000000000011 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.77% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)33.22% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.02% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)54.98% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
MVV Maastricht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.41% (0.030000000000001 0.03)13.58% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.3% (0.058 0.06)40.7% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Jong Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.38% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)23.62% (0.084999999999997 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.29% (-0.123 -0.12)57.71% (0.121 0.12)
Score Analysis
    MVV Maastricht 50.48%
    Jong Ajax 27.85%
    Draw 21.67%
MVV MaastrichtDrawJong Ajax
2-1 @ 9.23% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.41% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.39% (0.024 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.14% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 4.43% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 4.25% (0.018999999999999 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.06% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.21% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 2.12% (0.012 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.22% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-3 @ 1.06% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.95%
Total : 50.48%
1-1 @ 9.24%
2-2 @ 6.66% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.21% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 2.13% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 21.67%
1-2 @ 6.67% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-1 @ 4.63% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 3.34% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.21% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.2% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.61% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.16% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.16% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 27.85%

Head to Head
Feb 20, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 25
Jong Ajax
4-2
MVV
Fitz-Jim (5'), Conceicao (8'), Godts (51'), Banel (90+4')
Blummel (31'), Steuckers (65')
Sep 16, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 7
MVV
4-1
Jong Ajax
Remans (10'), Blummel (28'), Kostons (68'), Van Bommel (85')
Misehouy (53')
Apr 29, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 37
MVV
1-0
Jong Ajax
Ntelo (39')
Souren (45'), Alberg (65'), Zeegers (71')

Baas (24'), Fitz-Jim (45+1'), (71')
Sep 27, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 8
Jong Ajax
3-1
MVV
Danilo (33' pen., 60'), Unuvar (45+1')
Hillen (20'), Rensch (22')
Dzepar (90+4')
Zeegers (30')
Mar 19, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 29
Jong Ajax
4-3
MVV
Unuvar (12'), Musampa (39'), Martha (53'), Hansen (76')
Baas (37')
Naudts (29', 87'), Mickels (63')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC VolendamVolendam29194665353061
2Cambuur30174948272155
3ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag29167650321855
4SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior30158753332053
5Dordrecht30158750401053
6De GraafschapDe Graafschap29147858411749
7TelstarTelstar29128951361544
8Den BoschDen Bosch30127114236643
9Roda JC2911994038242
10Helmond SportHelmond29126114342142
11EmmenEmmen29125124441341
12FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven29116124548-339
13Jong AZJong AZ2896135053-333
14MVV MaastrichtMVV2989124247-533
15Jong AjaxJong Ajax2987143438-431
16VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo2885152749-2229
17TOP OssOss30611132250-2829
18Jong PSVJong PSV2964194262-2022
19Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht2939172562-3718
20Vitesse3098134263-218
> Eerste Divisie Full Table


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