Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong PSV win with a probability of 43.45%. A win for TOP Oss had a probability of 34.17% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong PSV win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.9%) and 0-2 (5.4%). The likeliest TOP Oss win was 2-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong PSV would win this match.