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EFL Cup
Chelsea logo
EFL Cup | Third Round
Sep 27, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stamford Bridge
Brighton logo

Chelsea
1 - 0
Brighton

Jackson (50')
Roberto Pochettino Trossero (43'), Ugochukwu (45')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Balepa (42'), Estupinan (45'), Welbeck (90+9')

The Match

Match Report

Chelsea end a three-game winless and goalless streak with a hard-fought 1-0 victory over Brighton & Hove Albion in the third round of the EFL Cup.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Chelsea and Brighton & Hove Albion.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Chelsea and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Chelsea could line up for Wednesday's EFL Cup clash with Brighton at Stamford Bridge.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Chelsea's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's EFL Cup clash with Brighton & Hove Albion.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: Chelsea 0-1 Aston Villa
Sunday, September 24 at 2pm in Premier League

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions
Last Game: Brighton 3-1 Bournemouth
Sunday, September 24 at 2pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 40.54%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 36.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.59%) and 2-0 (5.49%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.

Result
ChelseaDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
40.54% (-0.48 -0.48) 23.27% (0.074999999999999 0.07) 36.19% (0.406 0.41)
Both teams to score 64.13% (-0.21599999999999 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.64% (-0.308 -0.31)37.35% (0.308 0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.43% (-0.332 -0.33)59.57% (0.332 0.33)
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.11% (-0.33799999999999 -0.34)18.89% (0.339 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.63% (-0.565 -0.56)50.37% (0.565 0.57)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.07% (0.063999999999993 0.06)20.92% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.34% (0.1 0.1)53.66% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Chelsea 40.54%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 36.19%
    Draw 23.27%
ChelseaDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
2-1 @ 8.59% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-0 @ 6.59% (0.028 0.03)
2-0 @ 5.49% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.77% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.73% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.05% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.99% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.55% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.27% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 40.54%
1-1 @ 10.3% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 6.72% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.95% (0.059 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.95% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 23.27%
1-2 @ 8.06% (0.065 0.06)
0-1 @ 6.18% (0.104 0.1)
0-2 @ 4.84% (0.09 0.09)
1-3 @ 4.2% (0.042 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.5% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 2.52% (0.052 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.64% (0.019 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.37% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 0.99% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 36.19%

How you voted: Chelsea vs Brighton

Chelsea
20.3%
Draw
10.5%
Brighton & Hove Albion
69.2%
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